PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Austin FC 1–1 Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Austin FC and Colorado Rapids drew 1–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.790.64
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Austin FC and Colorado Rapids drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Austin FC – Colorado Rapids): shots 11–11, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.79–0.64, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Colorado Rapids have a visible away split

strong

Colorado Rapids's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.08 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.08 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Austin FC.

4 days ▲Rest daysAustin FC · Colorado Rapids4.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAustin FCColorado RapidsBaseline
Rest days4 days4.04 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsAustin FC 11 shots, Colorado Rapids 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsAustin FC 2 shots, Colorado Rapids 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG0.64 xGAustin FC 0.79 xG, Colorado Rapids 0.64 xG
  • Possession51%49%Austin FC 51%, Colorado Rapids 49%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersAustin FC 8 corners, Colorado Rapids 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls18 foulsAustin FC 8 fouls, Colorado Rapids 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsAustin FC 0 cards, Colorado Rapids 2 cards
  • Passes482 passes479 passesAustin FC 482 passes, Colorado Rapids 479 passes
  • Pass accuracy88%88.5%Austin FC 88%, Colorado Rapids 88.5%
  • Shots inside box9 shots5 shotsAustin FC 9 shots, Colorado Rapids 5 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block4 blocksAustin FC 1 block, Colorado Rapids 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves1 saveAustin FC 4 saves, Colorado Rapids 1 save
  • Offsides7 offsides2 offsidesAustin FC 7 offsides, Colorado Rapids 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 22′Paxten AaronsonGoal · Colorado Rapids
  2. 45′Josh AtencioYellow card · Colorado Rapids
  3. Half-time
  4. 62′Reggie CannonYellow card · Colorado Rapids
  5. 79′Facundo TorresGoal · Austin FC
  6. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 27′Colorado Rapids · 1 player changeJosh Atencio
  • 46′Austin FC · 1 player changeJorge Alastuey
  • 59′Austin FC · 1 player changeChristian Ramirez
  • 60′Austin FC · 1 player changeŽan Kolmanič
  • 69′Colorado Rapids · 1 player changeGeorgi Minoungou
  • 82′Austin FC · 1 player changePrzemysław Płacheta
  • 86′Colorado Rapids · 2 player changesAlex Harris · Jackson Travis

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Austin FC3-4-3
  1. Brad StuverG
  2. Brendan Hines-IkeD
  3. Oleksandr SvatokD
  4. Facundo TorresD
  5. Guilherme BiroD
  6. Jorge AlastueyD
  7. Besard SabovićM
  8. Ervin TorresM
  9. Brandon VázquezF
  10. Jon GallagherF
  11. Joseph RosalesF
Colorado Rapids4-3-3
  1. Adam BeaudryG
  2. Loïc WilliamsD
  3. Rob HoldingD
  4. Noah CobbD
  5. Miguel NavarroD
  6. Paxten AaronsonM
  7. Josh AtencioM
  8. Wayne FrederickM
  9. Darren YapiF
  10. Youssef MazizF
  11. Georgi MinoungouF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Austin FC
0Draws
3Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids — Austin FC · Major League Soccer1–0
Colorado Rapids — Austin FC · Major League Soccer0–2
Austin FC — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer0–1
Austin FC — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer3–2
Colorado Rapids — Austin FC · Major League Soccer2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Austin FC favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Colorado Rapids in 10 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Austin FC24 matchesColorado Rapids24 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.33 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.3 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 11.8 shots/match
4.04 shots/matchShots on target24/243.92 shots/match
49%Possession24/24● 55%
4.63 corners/matchCorners24/24● 4.92 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/103.4 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2414.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 10 Sept 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAustin FCColorado Rapids
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headAustin FC — Colorado Rapids
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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