PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Chicago Fire 1–1 Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Chicago Fire and Inter Miami CF drew 1–1.

Shots
1020
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.831.37
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chicago Fire and Inter Miami CF drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Chicago Fire – Inter Miami CF): shots 10–20, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.83–1.37, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter Miami CF.

4.04 days ▲Rest daysChicago Fire · Inter Miami CF3.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricChicago FireInter Miami CFBaseline
Rest days4.04 days3.98 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots20 shotsChicago Fire 10 shots, Inter Miami CF 20 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsChicago Fire 3 shots, Inter Miami CF 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG1.37 xGChicago Fire 0.83 xG, Inter Miami CF 1.37 xG
  • Possession44%56%Chicago Fire 44%, Inter Miami CF 56%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersChicago Fire 2 corners, Inter Miami CF 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsChicago Fire 16 fouls, Inter Miami CF 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsChicago Fire 2 cards, Inter Miami CF 3 cards
  • Passes404 passes515 passesChicago Fire 404 passes, Inter Miami CF 515 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.9%86.6%Chicago Fire 85.9%, Inter Miami CF 86.6%
  • Shots inside box7 shots10 shotsChicago Fire 7 shots, Inter Miami CF 10 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks9 blocksChicago Fire 4 blocks, Inter Miami CF 9 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves2 savesChicago Fire 6 saves, Inter Miami CF 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesChicago Fire 0 offsides, Inter Miami CF 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 4′Telasco SegoviaYellow card · Inter Miami CF
  2. 10′Robert LewandowskiGoal · Chicago Fire
  3. 24′Maximiliano FalcónYellow card · Inter Miami CF
  4. Half-time
  5. 48′CasemiroGoal · Inter Miami CF
  6. 50′Jonathan DeanYellow card · Chicago Fire
  7. 59′Dje Tah D'AvillaYellow card · Chicago Fire
  8. 71′Germán BerterameYellow card · Inter Miami CF
  9. Full time
Player changes · 6grouped by team and minute
  • 56′Chicago Fire · 1 player changePuso Dithejane
  • 67′Chicago Fire · 2 player changesSergio Oregel · Leonardo Barroso
  • 78′Inter Miami CF · 2 player changesFacundo Mura · Alexander Shaw
  • 90′Chicago Fire · 1 player changeMauricio Pineda

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Chicago Fire4-3-3
  1. Chris BradyG
  2. Jack ElliottD
  3. Samuel RogersD
  4. Andrew GutmanD
  5. Jonathan DeanD
  6. Anton SalétrosM
  7. Maren Haile-SelassieM
  8. Dje Tah D'AvillaM
  9. Robert LewandowskiF
  10. Philip ZinckernagelF
  11. Puso DithejaneF
Inter Miami CF4-3-3
  1. Dayne St. ClairG
  2. CasemiroD
  3. Fricio CaicedoD
  4. Ian FrayD
  5. Maximiliano FalcónD
  6. Rodrigo De PaulM
  7. Telasco SegoviaM
  8. Yannick BrightM
  9. Luis SuárezF
  10. Lionel MessiF
  11. Germán BerterameF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Chicago Fire
1Draws
3Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF — Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer3–2
Inter Miami CF — Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer3–5
Chicago Fire — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer0–0
Chicago Fire — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer1–4
Inter Miami CF — Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chicago Fire favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Inter Miami CF in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chicago Fire23 matchesInter Miami CF24 matches
1.91 goals/matchGoals scored23/24▲ 2.46 goals/match
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/241.83 goals/match
1.79 xG/matchExpected goals19/21▲ 2.16 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots22/24▲ 15.5 shots/match
5.27 shots/matchShots on target22/24▲ 6.13 shots/match
51.7%Possession22/24● 56.8%
4.18 corners/matchCorners22/24● 5.5 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/53 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2412.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 10 Sept 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChicago FireInter Miami CF
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headChicago Fire — Inter Miami CF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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