PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Inter Miami CF 2–2 Nashville SC · Major League Soccer

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Inter Miami CF and Nashville SC drew 2–2.

Shots
1418
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.632.43
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter Miami CF and Nashville SC drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Inter Miami CF – Nashville SC): shots 14–18, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.63–2.43, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter Miami CF, Nashville SC.

2.96 days ▲Rest daysInter Miami CF · Nashville SC3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricInter Miami CFNashville SCBaseline
Rest days2.96 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Nashville SC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Nashville SC's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots18 shotsInter Miami CF 14 shots, Nashville SC 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsInter Miami CF 5 shots, Nashville SC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.63 xG2.43 xGInter Miami CF 1.63 xG, Nashville SC 2.43 xG
  • Possession62%38%Inter Miami CF 62%, Nashville SC 38%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersInter Miami CF 5 corners, Nashville SC 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls18 foulsInter Miami CF 13 fouls, Nashville SC 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsInter Miami CF 3 cards, Nashville SC 2 cards
  • Passes551 passes321 passesInter Miami CF 551 passes, Nashville SC 321 passes
  • Pass accuracy90.2%89.7%Inter Miami CF 90.2%, Nashville SC 89.7%
  • Shots inside box9 shots11 shotsInter Miami CF 9 shots, Nashville SC 11 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks4 blocksInter Miami CF 2 blocks, Nashville SC 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesInter Miami CF 1 save, Nashville SC 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideInter Miami CF 1 offside, Nashville SC 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 4′Sam SurridgeGoal · Nashville SC
  2. 9′Alex MuylYellow card · Nashville SC
  3. 19′Reed Baker-WhitingGoal · Nashville SC
  4. 41′Fricio CaicedoYellow card · Inter Miami CF
  5. 43′Maxwell WoledziYellow card · Nashville SC
  6. Half-time
  7. 62′Lionel MessiGoal · Inter Miami CF
  8. 86′Germán BerterameYellow card · Inter Miami CF
  9. 90′Matías GalarzaYellow card · Inter Miami CF
  10. 90′Sam SurridgeGoal · Nashville SC
  11. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 56′Nashville SC · 1 player changeElias Saad
  • 66′Inter Miami CF · 2 player changesFacundo Mura · Matías Galarza
  • 72′Nashville SC · 2 player changesEdvard Tagseth · Daniel Lovitz
  • 81′Nashville SC · 2 player changesShakur Mohammed · Bryan Acosta

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Inter Miami CF4-3-3
  1. Dayne St. ClairG
  2. CasemiroD
  3. Fricio CaicedoD
  4. Ian FrayD
  5. Maximiliano FalcónD
  6. Rodrigo De PaulM
  7. Telasco SegoviaM
  8. Yannick BrightM
  9. Luis SuárezF
  10. Lionel MessiF
  11. Germán BerterameF
Nashville SC4-3-3
  1. Brian SchwakeG
  2. Daniel LovitzD
  3. Maxwell WoledziD
  4. Jack MaherD
  5. Reed Baker-WhitingD
  6. Elias SaadM
  7. Matthew CorcoranM
  8. Edvard TagsethM
  9. Cristian EspinozaF
  10. Sam SurridgeF
  11. Hany MukhtarF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter Miami CF
0Draws
2Nashville SC
Nashville SC — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer4–1
Inter Miami CF — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer4–0
Nashville SC — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer2–1
Inter Miami CF — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer3–1
Nashville SC — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer2–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter Miami CF favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Nashville SC in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter Miami CF25 matchesNashville SC25 matches
2.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/252 goals/match
1.84 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.84 goals/match
2.13 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.32 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512 shots/match
6.08 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.68 shots/match
57% ●Possession25/2553.6%
5.48 corners/match ●Corners25/255.16 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInter Miami CFNashville SC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headInter Miami CF — Nashville SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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