Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Inter Miami CF

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vsPre-match analysis

Nashville SC

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30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter Miami CF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Inter Miami CF's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Inter Miami CF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter Miami CF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.63 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	4 goals/match	2.63 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter Miami CF have a visible home split

moderate

Inter Miami CF's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season16.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	19.7 shots/match	16.1 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Inter Miami CF favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Nashville SC in 5 · 2 too close

2.63 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/162.06 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲0.69 goals/match

2.38 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.18 xG/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.18 xG/match

16.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1611.3 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲10.2 shots/match

6.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/164.94 shots/match

4.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲3.31 shots/match

57.4%●Possessionseason · 16/1654.6%

6 corners/match●Cornersseason · 16/164.44 corners/match

3.38 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/164 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲50%

88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter Miami CF91.7

Nashville SC78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter Miami CF97.2

Nashville SC57.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter Miami CF33.9

Nashville SC93.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter Miami CF71.7

Nashville SC18.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami CF75

Nashville SC33.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami CF91.7

Nashville SC28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter Miami CF88.3

Nashville SC39.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Inter Miami CF16 matchesNashville SC16 matches

2.63 goals/match▲Goals scored16/162.06 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲0.69 goals/match

2.38 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.18 xG/match

16.1 shots/match▲Shots16/1611.3 shots/match

6.88 shots/match▲Shots on target16/164.94 shots/match

57.4%●Possession16/1654.6%

6 corners/match●Corners16/164.44 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Inter Miami CF7 matchesNashville SC7 matches

2.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match

2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.29 goals/match

3.12 xG/match▲Expected goals7/60.81 xG/match

19.7 shots/match▲Shots7/79.57 shots/match

8.57 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74 shots/match

59.4%●Possession7/751%

7.86 corners/match●Corners7/74 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/711.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

52 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/152 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness52 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4