PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Colorado Rapids 1–0 CF Montréal · Major League Soccer

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Colorado Rapids won 1–0.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.180.67
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Colorado Rapids beat CF Montréal 1–0. Recorded in this match (Colorado Rapids – CF Montréal): shots 18–11, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.18–0.67, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

strong

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match12 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Colorado Rapids, CF Montréal.

3.04 days ▲Rest daysColorado Rapids · CF Montréal3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricColorado RapidsCF MontréalBaseline
Rest days3.04 days3.08 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsColorado Rapids 18 shots, CF Montréal 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsColorado Rapids 7 shots, CF Montréal 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.18 xG0.67 xGColorado Rapids 2.18 xG, CF Montréal 0.67 xG
  • Possession59%41%Colorado Rapids 59%, CF Montréal 41%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerColorado Rapids 5 corners, CF Montréal 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsColorado Rapids 13 fouls, CF Montréal 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardColorado Rapids 2 cards, CF Montréal 1 card
  • Passes551 passes386 passesColorado Rapids 551 passes, CF Montréal 386 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.8%82.6%Colorado Rapids 87.8%, CF Montréal 82.6%
  • Shots inside box12 shots7 shotsColorado Rapids 12 shots, CF Montréal 7 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksColorado Rapids 5 blocks, CF Montréal 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves6 savesColorado Rapids 5 saves, CF Montréal 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesColorado Rapids 1 offside, CF Montréal 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 43′Paxten AaronsonPenalty goal · Colorado Rapids
  2. Half-time
  3. 81′Dante SealyYellow card · CF Montréal
  4. 85′Kosi ThompsonYellow card · Colorado Rapids
  5. 90′Wayne FrederickYellow card · Colorado Rapids
  6. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 54′Colorado Rapids · 2 player changesMorgan Whittaker · Saied Abu Farchi
  • 58′CF Montréal · 1 player changeAlexis Sánchez
  • 59′CF Montréal · 2 player changesDaniel Rios · Luca Petrasso
  • 68′Colorado Rapids · 1 player changeWayne Frederick
  • 76′CF Montréal · 1 player changeFabian Herbers
  • 82′CF Montréal · 1 player changeOlger Escobar
  • 83′Colorado Rapids · 2 player changesKosi Thompson · Noah Cobb

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Colorado Rapids4-3-3
  1. Nicholas Defreitas-HansenG
  2. Reggie CannonD
  3. Loïc WilliamsD
  4. Rob HoldingD
  5. Miguel NavarroD
  6. Hamzat OjediranM
  7. Josh AtencioM
  8. Wayne FrederickM
  9. Paxten AaronsonF
  10. Donavan PhillipF
  11. Darren YapiF
CF Montréal4-3-3
  1. Sebastian BrezaG
  2. Brayan CeballosD
  3. Brayan VeraD
  4. Brandan CraigD
  5. Luca PetrassoD
  6. Matthew LongstaffM
  7. Alexis SánchezM
  8. Wikelman CarmonaM
  9. Daniel RiosF
  10. Dante SealyF
  11. Victor LoturiF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Colorado Rapids
0Draws
0CF Montréal
Colorado Rapids — CF Montréal · Major League Soccer4–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Colorado Rapids favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · CF Montréal in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Colorado Rapids25 matchesCF Montréal25 matches
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.24 goals/match
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/252.04 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals22/221.4 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 12.9 shots/match
4.04 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.72 shots/match
55.1% ●Possession25/2548.3%
4.92 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.04 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards10/82.13 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsColorado RapidsCF Montréal
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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