PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Real Salt Lake 0–2 New York City FC · Major League Soccer

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

New York City FC won 0–2.

Shots
156
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.160.61
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

New York City FC beat Real Salt Lake 2–0. Recorded in this match (Real Salt Lake – New York City FC): shots 15–6, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.16–0.61, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Salt Lake's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Salt Lake's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Salt Lake, New York City FC.

3.04 days ▲Rest daysReal Salt Lake · New York City FC3.06 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal Salt LakeNew York City FCBaseline
Rest days3.04 days3.06 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

New York City FC have a visible away split

moderate

New York City FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots6 shotsReal Salt Lake 15 shots, New York City FC 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsReal Salt Lake 6 shots, New York City FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG0.61 xGReal Salt Lake 1.16 xG, New York City FC 0.61 xG
  • Possession53%47%Real Salt Lake 53%, New York City FC 47%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerReal Salt Lake 10 corners, New York City FC 1 corner
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsReal Salt Lake 18 fouls, New York City FC 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsReal Salt Lake 2 cards, New York City FC 2 cards
  • Passes502 passes463 passesReal Salt Lake 502 passes, New York City FC 463 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.5%81.2%Real Salt Lake 84.5%, New York City FC 81.2%
  • Shots inside box11 shots2 shotsReal Salt Lake 11 shots, New York City FC 2 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks1 blockReal Salt Lake 4 blocks, New York City FC 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save6 savesReal Salt Lake 1 save, New York City FC 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesReal Salt Lake 1 offside, New York City FC 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 41′Nicolás FernándezGoal · New York City FC
  2. Half-time
  3. 62′Luighi HanriGoal · New York City FC
  4. 64′Alexandros KatranisYellow card · Real Salt Lake
  5. 69′Lineker RodriguesYellow card · Real Salt Lake
  6. 81′Kevin O'TooleYellow card · New York City FC
  7. 90′Matthew FreeseYellow card · New York City FC
  8. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 57′Real Salt Lake · 2 player changesKobi Henry · Colin Guske
  • 67′Real Salt Lake · 2 player changesAiden Hezarkhani · Lineker Rodrigues
  • 72′New York City FC · 1 player changeBénie Traoré
  • 76′Real Salt Lake · 1 player changeTaylor Booth
  • 80′New York City FC · 2 player changesAiden O'Neill · Kevin O'Toole
  • 88′New York City FC · 1 player changeAlonso Martínez

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Real Salt Lake3-4-2-1
  1. Rafael CabralG
  2. DeAndre YedlinD
  3. Kobi HenryD
  4. Lukas EngelD
  5. Juan SanabriaD
  6. Juan Jose AriasD
  7. Colin GuskeM
  8. Noel CaliskanM
  9. Diego LunaF
  10. Jason ShokalookF
  11. Aiden HezarkhaniF
New York City FC4-3-3
  1. Matthew FreeseG
  2. Thiago MartinsD
  3. Kevin O'TooleD
  4. Raul GustavoD
  5. Mitja IleničD
  6. James SandsM
  7. Andrés PereaM
  8. Aiden O'NeillM
  9. Nicolás FernándezF
  10. Bénie TraoréF
  11. Agustin OjedaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Real Salt Lake
1Draws
1New York City FC
Real Salt Lake — New York City FC · Major League Soccer0–0
New York City FC — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer6–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Salt Lake favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · New York City FC in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Salt Lake24 matchesNew York City FC25 matches
1.54 goals/matchGoals scored24/251.56 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed24/25▲ 1.32 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/221.21 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots24/2511.4 shots/match
5.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/254.68 shots/match
49.6%Possession24/25● 53.8%
4.88 corners/match ●Corners24/253.68 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/42.5 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2511.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal Salt LakeNew York City FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headReal Salt Lake — New York City FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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