PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

New York City FC 1–2 New England Revolution · Major League Soccer

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

New England Revolution won 1–2.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.182.36
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

New England Revolution beat New York City FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (New York City FC – New England Revolution): shots 18–11, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.18–2.36, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

New York City FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New York City FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for New England Revolution.

5.02 days ▲Rest daysNew York City FC · New England Revolution3.94 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNew York City FCNew England RevolutionBaseline
Rest days5.02 days3.94 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

New York City FC have a visible home split

moderate

New York City FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsNew York City FC 18 shots, New England Revolution 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsNew York City FC 6 shots, New England Revolution 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG2.36 xGNew York City FC 1.18 xG, New England Revolution 2.36 xG
  • Possession65%35%New York City FC 65%, New England Revolution 35%
  • Corners12 corners4 cornersNew York City FC 12 corners, New England Revolution 4 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls10 foulsNew York City FC 5 fouls, New England Revolution 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsNew York City FC 0 cards, New England Revolution 2 cards
  • Passes611 passes317 passesNew York City FC 611 passes, New England Revolution 317 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.6%79.5%New York City FC 87.6%, New England Revolution 79.5%
  • Shots inside box9 shots9 shotsNew York City FC 9 shots, New England Revolution 9 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks4 blocksNew York City FC 5 blocks, New England Revolution 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves6 savesNew York City FC 4 saves, New England Revolution 6 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides3 offsidesNew York City FC 3 offsides, New England Revolution 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 12′Carles GilPenalty goal · New England Revolution
  2. 18′Alhassan YusufYellow card · New England Revolution
  3. 31′Matt PolsterYellow card · New England Revolution
  4. Half-time
  5. 71′Luighi HanriGoal · New York City FC
  6. 85′Dániel GazdagGoal · New England Revolution
  7. 90′Dániel GazdagGoal · New England Revolution
  8. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 20′New England Revolution · 1 player changeJackson Yueill
  • 63′New York City FC · 2 player changesHannes Wolf · Luighi Hanri
  • 73′New England Revolution · 2 player changesDániel Gazdag · Ilay Feingold
  • 80′New England Revolution · 2 player changesWilson Harris · Luca Langoni
  • 89′New York City FC · 1 player changeMalachi Jones
  • 90′New England Revolution · 1 player changeTanner Beason

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

New York City FC4-3-3
  1. Matthew FreeseG
  2. Thiago MartinsD
  3. Kevin O'TooleD
  4. Tayvon GrayD
  5. Raul GustavoD
  6. James SandsM
  7. Nicolás FernándezM
  8. Andrés PereaM
  9. Bénie TraoréF
  10. Luighi HanriF
  11. Agustin OjedaF
New England Revolution4-3-3
  1. Matt TurnerG
  2. Mamadou FofanaD
  3. Matt PolsterD
  4. Ethan KohlerD
  5. William SandsD
  6. Carles GilM
  7. Brooklyn RainesM
  8. Alhassan YusufM
  9. Jack HarrisonF
  10. Peyton MillerF
  11. Dor TurgemanF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3New York City FC
1Draws
1New England Revolution
New England Revolution — New York City FC · Major League Soccer1–1
New England Revolution — New York City FC · Major League Soccer2–0
New York City FC — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer2–1
New England Revolution — New York City FC · Major League Soccer0–1
New York City FC — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: New York City FC favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · New England Revolution in 6 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

New York City FC24 matchesNew England Revolution24 matches
1.54 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals21/22▲ 1.61 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 12.5 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target24/244.79 shots/match
54.1% ●Possession24/2450.7%
3.79 corners/matchCorners24/24● 4.42 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/52.6 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls24/249.88 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 10 Sept 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNew York City FCNew England Revolution
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headNew York City FC — New England Revolution
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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