PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

FC Dallas 2–1 Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Dallas won 2–1.

Shots
918
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.071.49
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Dallas beat Portland Timbers 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Dallas – Portland Timbers): shots 9–18, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.07–1.49, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Dallas, Portland Timbers.

3 days ▲Rest daysFC Dallas · Portland Timbers2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFC DallasPortland TimbersBaseline
Rest days3 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Portland Timbers have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.8%PossessionFC Dallas · Portland Timbers● 50.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC DallasPortland TimbersBaseline
Possession41.8%50.8%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots18 shotsFC Dallas 9 shots, Portland Timbers 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsFC Dallas 5 shots, Portland Timbers 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG1.49 xGFC Dallas 1.07 xG, Portland Timbers 1.49 xG
  • Possession39%61%FC Dallas 39%, Portland Timbers 61%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersFC Dallas 8 corners, Portland Timbers 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls4 foulsFC Dallas 13 fouls, Portland Timbers 4 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsFC Dallas 1 card, Portland Timbers 0 cards
  • Passes365 passes562 passesFC Dallas 365 passes, Portland Timbers 562 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.2%85.8%FC Dallas 79.2%, Portland Timbers 85.8%
  • Shots inside box6 shots14 shotsFC Dallas 6 shots, Portland Timbers 14 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks6 blocksFC Dallas 3 blocks, Portland Timbers 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesFC Dallas 3 saves, Portland Timbers 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesFC Dallas 1 offside, Portland Timbers 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 45′Logan FarringtonGoal · FC Dallas
  2. Half-time
  3. 47′KaickYellow card · FC Dallas
  4. 87′Joaquín ValienteGoal · FC Dallas
  5. 90′Ariel LassiterGoal · Portland Timbers
  6. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 56′Portland Timbers · 1 player changeAriel Lassiter
  • 63′FC Dallas · 2 player changesChristian Cappis · Herman Johansson
  • 64′Portland Timbers · 1 player changeGage Guerra
  • 77′FC Dallas · 2 player changesPetar Musa · Patrickson Delgado
  • 83′Portland Timbers · 1 player changeKamal Miller
  • 88′FC Dallas · 1 player changeLalas Abubakar

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

FC Dallas4-4-2
  1. Jonathan SiroisG
  2. Osaze UrhoghideD
  3. Ran BinyaminD
  4. Shaq MooreD
  5. Sebastien IbeaghaD
  6. Christian CappisM
  7. RamiroM
  8. Joaquín ValienteM
  9. KaickM
  10. Logan FarringtonF
  11. Bernard KamungoF
Portland Timbers4-3-3
  1. James PantemisG
  2. Kamal MillerD
  3. Eric MillerD
  4. Finn SurmanD
  5. Jímer ForyD
  6. Cole BassettM
  7. Diego CharáM
  8. Joao OrtízM
  9. Ariel LassiterF
  10. Vincent JanssenF
  11. Kristoffer VeldeF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Dallas
3Draws
0Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer2–2
Portland Timbers — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer2–2
FC Dallas — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer2–0
Portland Timbers — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer0–0
FC Dallas — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Dallas favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Portland Timbers in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Dallas25 matchesPortland Timbers25 matches
1.96 goals/matchGoals scored25/251.88 goals/match
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.88 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals22/221.49 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13.2 shots/match
4.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.48 shots/match
41.8%Possession25/25● 50.8%
4.36 corners/matchCorners25/25● 4.68 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards6/83 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls25/259.84 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC DallasPortland Timbers
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headFC Dallas — Portland Timbers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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