Major League Soccer · 2026
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: LA Galaxy's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

LA Galaxy's recent record differs from the season

moderate

LA Galaxy's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Minnesota United
1Draws
3LA Galaxy
LA GalaxyMinnesota United · Major League Soccer12
LA GalaxyMinnesota United · Major League Soccer21
Minnesota UnitedLA Galaxy · Major League Soccer22
LA GalaxyMinnesota United · Major League Soccer62
LA GalaxyMinnesota United · Major League Soccer21

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Minnesota United favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · LA Galaxy in 3 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Minnesota United21 matchesLA Galaxy22 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored21/221.23 goals/match
1.38 goals/match Goals allowed21/221.45 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals18/191.42 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots21/2212.6 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target21/22 5.18 shots/match
46.4%Possession21/22 48.6%
5.52 corners/match Corners21/225.14 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/83 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls21/2210.4 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Minnesota United15.0
LA Galaxy38.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Minnesota United46.7
LA Galaxy46.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Minnesota United66.7
LA Galaxy51.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Minnesota United78.3
LA Galaxy51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United33.4
LA Galaxy53.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 62%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United78.3
LA Galaxy63.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Minnesota United64.6
LA Galaxy52.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
27.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/128 days

Minnesota United / LA Galaxy

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidencelimited
Season samples21 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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