PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Real Salt Lake 0–3 Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer

0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vancouver Whitecaps won 0–3.

Shots
1221
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.162.21
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vancouver Whitecaps beat Real Salt Lake 3–0. Recorded in this match (Real Salt Lake – Vancouver Whitecaps): shots 12–21, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.16–2.21, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Salt Lake's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Salt Lake's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Salt Lake · Vancouver Whitecaps17.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal Salt LakeVancouver WhitecapsBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match17.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match8.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Salt Lake have a visible home split

moderate

Real Salt Lake's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots21 shotsReal Salt Lake 12 shots, Vancouver Whitecaps 21 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsReal Salt Lake 3 shots, Vancouver Whitecaps 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG2.21 xGReal Salt Lake 1.16 xG, Vancouver Whitecaps 2.21 xG
  • Possession48%52%Real Salt Lake 48%, Vancouver Whitecaps 52%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersReal Salt Lake 6 corners, Vancouver Whitecaps 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsReal Salt Lake 13 fouls, Vancouver Whitecaps 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards5 cardsReal Salt Lake 2 cards, Vancouver Whitecaps 5 cards
  • Passes441 passes479 passesReal Salt Lake 441 passes, Vancouver Whitecaps 479 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.6%84.1%Real Salt Lake 86.6%, Vancouver Whitecaps 84.1%
  • Shots inside box7 shots12 shotsReal Salt Lake 7 shots, Vancouver Whitecaps 12 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks6 blocksReal Salt Lake 3 blocks, Vancouver Whitecaps 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesReal Salt Lake 3 saves, Vancouver Whitecaps 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesReal Salt Lake 3 offsides, Vancouver Whitecaps 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 9′Brian WhiteGoal · Vancouver Whitecaps
  2. 29′Thomas MüllerGoal · Vancouver Whitecaps
  3. Half-time
  4. 49′Tate JohnsonYellow card · Vancouver Whitecaps
  5. 52′Jeevan BadwalYellow card · Vancouver Whitecaps
  6. 59′Noel CaliskanYellow card · Real Salt Lake
  7. 63′Yadaly DiabyGoal · Vancouver Whitecaps
  8. 66′Tristan BlackmonYellow card · Vancouver Whitecaps
  9. 72′Morgan GuilavoguiYellow card · Real Salt Lake
  10. 81′Yadaly DiabyYellow card · Vancouver Whitecaps
  11. 90′Édier OcampoYellow card · Vancouver Whitecaps
  12. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 50′Vancouver Whitecaps · 1 player changeMathías Laborda
  • 58′Real Salt Lake · 1 player changeSam Junqua
  • 59′Real Salt Lake · 1 player changeDominik Marczuk
  • 62′Vancouver Whitecaps · 1 player changeRyan Gauld
  • 65′Real Salt Lake · 2 player changesTaylor Booth · Emeka Eneli
  • 73′Real Salt Lake · 1 player changeJason Shokalook
  • 80′Vancouver Whitecaps · 1 player changeSam Adekugbe
  • 81′Vancouver Whitecaps · 1 player changeRayan Elloumi
  • 87′Vancouver Whitecaps · 1 player changeBruno Quiñonez

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Real Salt Lake3-4-2-1
  1. Rafael CabralG
  2. DeAndre YedlinD
  3. Kobi HenryD
  4. Juan SanabriaD
  5. Philip QuintonD
  6. Alexandros KatranisD
  7. Luca MoisaM
  8. Noel CaliskanM
  9. Morgan GuilavoguiF
  10. Saba LobzhanidzeF
  11. Sergi SolansF
Vancouver Whitecaps4-2-3-1
  1. Yohei TakaokaG
  2. Mathías LabordaD
  3. Tate JohnsonD
  4. Tristan BlackmonD
  5. Rui ModestoD
  6. Cheick Tidiane SabalyM
  7. Oliver LarrazM
  8. Andrés CubasM
  9. Bruno QuiñonezF
  10. Brian WhiteF
  11. Ryan GauldF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Real Salt Lake
0Draws
3Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer1–0
Real Salt Lake — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer2–3
Vancouver Whitecaps — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer2–1
Real Salt Lake — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer2–1
Vancouver Whitecaps — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Salt Lake favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Vancouver Whitecaps in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Salt Lake25 matchesVancouver Whitecaps25 matches
1.48 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 2.24 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 2.1 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 17.5 shots/match
5.32 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 6.36 shots/match
49.6%Possession25/25● 56%
4.92 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.92 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/62.67 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2514.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal Salt LakeVancouver Whitecaps
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headReal Salt Lake — Vancouver Whitecaps
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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