Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Portland Timbers's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: San Diego FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Portland Timbers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Portland Timbers's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.2 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Diego FC have a visible away split

moderate

San Diego FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

San Diego FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

San Diego FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/matchShotsPortland Timbers · San Diego FC11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPortland TimbersSan Diego FCBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match11.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Portland Timbers
0Draws
0San Diego FC
San DiegoPortland Timbers · Major League Soccer12

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Portland Timbers favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · San Diego FC in 6 · 5 too close

1.81 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/161.88 goals/match
1.94 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.75 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/131.43 xG/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/131.9 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1611.2 shots/match
17 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1613.4 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/164.44 shots/match
6.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/165.44 shots/match
50.6%Possessionseason · 16/1660.8%
4.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.56 corners/match
6.44 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/163.94 corners/match
3 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/82.88 cards/match
9.75 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
6%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1625%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Portland Timbers58.3
San Diego FC98.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Portland Timbers56.7
San Diego FC41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Portland Timbers13.3
San Diego FC28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Portland Timbers45
San Diego FC1.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers45
San Diego FC50.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 66%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers28.3
San Diego FC40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Portland Timbers33.8
San Diego FC30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.79 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.61 xG/match
16.2 shots/matchShots5/513.8 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
58.6%Possession5/555.4%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/1
9 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.48 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots10/1012.2 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.3 shots/match
55%Possession10/1058.8%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
Cards0/33.67 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
1.81 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.88 goals/match
1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.75 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.43 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots16/1611.2 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target16/164.44 shots/match
50.6%Possession16/1660.8%
4.44 corners/matchCorners16/164.56 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/82.88 cards/match
9.75 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
2.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/71 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals5/61.3 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots7/79 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/73.29 shots/match
53.4%Possession7/759.4%
3.57 corners/matchCorners7/73.86 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/33.33 cards/match
9.71 fouls/matchFouls7/710.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

28 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/128 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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