Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: San Jose Earthquakes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: LA Galaxy's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible away split

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match13.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

LA Galaxy's recent record differs from the season

moderate

LA Galaxy's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.35 corners/matchCornersLA Galaxy · San Jose Earthquakes7.13 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLA GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesBaseline
Corners5.35 corners/match7.13 corners/match4.78 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

LA Galaxy favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · San Jose Earthquakes in 6 · 6 too close

1.35 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/162.13 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/161.19 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/131.76 xG/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/131.4 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/1613.8 shots/match
11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/1612.4 shots/match
5.35 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/165.69 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/164.38 shots/match
50.2%Possessionseason · 17/1646.8%
5.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/167.13 corners/match
3.35 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/164.75 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/41.75 cards/match
9.82 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1612.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1631%
94%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1688%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

LA Galaxy55
San Jose Earthquakes25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

LA Galaxy51.7
San Jose Earthquakes83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

LA Galaxy50.5
San Jose Earthquakes66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

LA Galaxy51.7
San Jose Earthquakes78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

LA Galaxy35.9
San Jose Earthquakes31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 62%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

LA Galaxy75
San Jose Earthquakes98.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

LA Galaxy55.9
San Jose Earthquakes77.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.27 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.2 shots/match
52.6%Possession5/541.2%
6 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.4 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.8 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.72 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots10/1013 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target10/105.7 shots/match
48.3%Possession10/1046.7%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 16 matches
1.35 goals/matchGoals scored17/162.13 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed17/161.19 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals14/131.76 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots17/1613.8 shots/match
5.35 shots/matchShots on target17/165.69 shots/match
50.2%Possession17/1646.8%
5.35 corners/matchCorners17/167.13 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match
9.82 fouls/matchFouls17/1612.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 8 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/82.25 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/81.13 goals/match
1.73 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.19 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots9/89 shots/match
5.56 shots/matchShots on target9/83.75 shots/match
50.8%Possession9/844%
5.89 corners/matchCorners9/84.75 corners/match
Cards2/1
11.1 fouls/matchFouls9/811 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

28 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/128 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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