Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

CF Montréal

DLDDL

vsPre-match analysis

LA Galaxy

LWDLL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: LA Galaxy's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

LA Galaxy's recent record differs from the season

moderate

LA Galaxy's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.35 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

CF Montréal favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · LA Galaxy in 4 · 9 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/171.35 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/17▲1.65 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/141.51 xG/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/141.38 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1713.1 shots/match

12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1711.9 shots/match

4.44 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/17▲5.35 shots/match

4.81 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/174.71 shots/match

47.8%Possessionseason · 16/1750.2%

5.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/175.35 corners/match

4.44 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/17▲3.35 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/42.75 cards/match

13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/179.82 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1712%

63%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/17▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

CF Montréal38.3

LA Galaxy55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

CF Montréal36.7

LA Galaxy51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

CF Montréal39.4

LA Galaxy50.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

CF Montréal55

LA Galaxy51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

CF Montréal63.4

LA Galaxy35.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 62%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

CF Montréal58.3

LA Galaxy75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

CF Montréal55

LA Galaxy55.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.49 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.45 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots5/513.2 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

49%Possession5/552.6%

7.2 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

1.53 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.46 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match

4.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match

46.2%Possession10/1048.3%

5.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 17 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/171.35 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed16/17▲1.65 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals13/141.51 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShots16/1713.1 shots/match

4.44 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲5.35 shots/match

47.8%Possession16/1750.2%

5.13 corners/matchCorners16/175.35 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards6/42.75 cards/match

13.9 fouls/matchFouls16/179.82 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches

1.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/81.5 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/81.75 goals/match

1.51 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.29 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shots7/812.6 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲5.13 shots/match

46.1%Possession7/849.6%

6.86 corners/matchCorners7/84.75 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

14.9 fouls/matchFouls7/88.38 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

31 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/130.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 17home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4