Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Inter Miami CF

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vsPre-match analysis

Toronto FC

LLLDD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter Miami CF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Inter Miami CF's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Inter Miami CF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter Miami CF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.63 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	4 goals/match	2.63 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter Miami CF have a visible home split

moderate

Inter Miami CF's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season16.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	19.7 shots/match	16.1 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/match▲CornersInter Miami CF · Toronto FC5.56 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Inter Miami CF	Toronto FC	Baseline
Corners	6 corners/match	5.56 corners/match	4.78 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Inter Miami CF

0Draws

0Toronto FC

9 May 2026Toronto FC — Inter Miami · Major League Soccer2–4

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Inter Miami CF favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Toronto FC in 3 · 5 too close

2.63 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161.38 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.81 goals/match

2.38 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/141.14 xG/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/14▲1.14 xG/match

16.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1611.5 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲11.6 shots/match

6.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/164.06 shots/match

4.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4.44 shots/match

57.4%Possessionseason · 16/1647.1%

6 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/165.56 corners/match

3.38 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/165.94 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1612.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1619%

88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter Miami CF91.7

Toronto FC28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter Miami CF97.2

Toronto FC25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter Miami CF33.9

Toronto FC56.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter Miami CF71.7

Toronto FC31.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami CF75

Toronto FC43.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami CF91.7

Toronto FC78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter Miami CF88.3

Toronto FC45.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match

2.82 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.01 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match

7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match

55%Possession5/545.6%

6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

3.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.9 goals/match

2.5 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.17 xG/match

16.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.5 shots/match

7.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.4 shots/match

55.1%Possession10/1048.6%

6.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

2.63 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.38 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.81 goals/match

2.38 xG/match▲Expected goals13/141.14 xG/match

16.1 shots/match▲Shots16/1611.5 shots/match

6.88 shots/match▲Shots on target16/164.06 shots/match

57.4%Possession16/1647.1%

6 corners/matchCorners16/165.56 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

2.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match

2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.57 goals/match

3.12 xG/match▲Expected goals7/50.95 xG/match

19.7 shots/match▲Shots7/710.1 shots/match

8.57 shots/match▲Shots on target7/72.86 shots/match

59.4%Possession7/746.6%

7.86 corners/matchCorners7/74.86 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/711.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

31 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/131 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4