Major League Soccer · 2026Wed, 19 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Philadelphia Union

LLDLW

vsPre-match analysis

Inter Miami CF

WWWWW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Philadelphia Union's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.31 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.88 corners/match▲CornersPhiladelphia Union · Inter Miami CF6 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Philadelphia Union	Inter Miami CF	Baseline
Corners	5.88 corners/match	6 corners/match	4.78 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Inter Miami CF have a visible away split

moderate

Inter Miami CF's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season16.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.3 shots/match	16.1 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Philadelphia Union

0Draws

1Inter Miami CF

24 May 2026Inter Miami — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer6–4

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Philadelphia Union favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Inter Miami CF in 6 · 5 too close

1.31 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲2.63 goals/match

1.94 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.88 goals/match

1.6 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲2.38 xG/match

1.65 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.55 xG/match

15.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1616.1 shots/match

9.38 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1612.8 shots/match

4.56 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲6.88 shots/match

3.88 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/164.94 shots/match

45.4%Possessionseason · 16/1657.4%

5.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/166 corners/match

3.19 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/163.38 corners/match

3.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/43 cards/match

15.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1612.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲19%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Philadelphia Union18.3

Inter Miami CF91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Philadelphia Union46.1

Inter Miami CF97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Philadelphia Union70

Inter Miami CF33.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Philadelphia Union98.3

Inter Miami CF71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Philadelphia Union95

Inter Miami CF75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Philadelphia Union86.7

Inter Miami CF91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Philadelphia Union76.2

Inter Miami CF88.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲4 goals/match

2.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2.2 goals/match

2.2 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.82 xG/match

18.6 shots/match▲Shots5/516 shots/match

6.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.6 shots/match

38.8%Possession5/555%

5.4 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲3.1 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match

1.64 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲2.5 xG/match

16.2 shots/matchShots10/1016.5 shots/match

5.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲7.5 shots/match

43.2%Possession10/1055.1%

5.4 corners/matchCorners10/106.5 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

14.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.31 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲2.63 goals/match

1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.88 goals/match

1.6 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲2.38 xG/match

15.4 shots/matchShots16/1616.1 shots/match

4.56 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲6.88 shots/match

45.4%Possession16/1657.4%

5.88 corners/matchCorners16/166 corners/match

3.5 cards/matchCards4/43 cards/match

15.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 9 matches

0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/9▲2.56 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/91.67 goals/match

1.54 xG/matchExpected goals5/61.52 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots7/913.3 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/9▲5.56 shots/match

46.7%Possession7/955.8%

7.29 corners/matchCorners7/94.56 corners/match

—Cards2/43 cards/match

13.4 fouls/matchFouls7/913 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

28 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/128 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 19 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4