Major League Soccer · 2026

Philadelphia Union 2–2 Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami CF drew 2–2.

Shots
175
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.591.48
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami CF drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Philadelphia Union – Inter Miami CF): shots 17–5, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.59–1.48, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Philadelphia Union's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Philadelphia Union, Inter Miami CF.

3.06 days ▲Rest daysPhiladelphia Union · Inter Miami CF3.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPhiladelphia UnionInter Miami CFBaseline
Rest days3.06 days3.96 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Philadelphia Union show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Philadelphia Union's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsPhiladelphia Union · Inter Miami CF15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPhiladelphia UnionInter Miami CFBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against9.1 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots5 shotsPhiladelphia Union 17 shots, Inter Miami CF 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsPhiladelphia Union 6 shots, Inter Miami CF 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.59 xG1.48 xGPhiladelphia Union 2.59 xG, Inter Miami CF 1.48 xG
  • Possession43%57%Philadelphia Union 43%, Inter Miami CF 57%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerPhiladelphia Union 4 corners, Inter Miami CF 1 corner
  • Fouls18 fouls13 foulsPhiladelphia Union 18 fouls, Inter Miami CF 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsPhiladelphia Union 4 cards, Inter Miami CF 2 cards
  • Passes331 passes456 passesPhiladelphia Union 331 passes, Inter Miami CF 456 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.2%80%Philadelphia Union 79.2%, Inter Miami CF 80%
  • Shots inside box14 shots3 shotsPhiladelphia Union 14 shots, Inter Miami CF 3 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksPhiladelphia Union 5 blocks, Inter Miami CF 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesPhiladelphia Union 1 save, Inter Miami CF 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides3 offsidesPhiladelphia Union 3 offsides, Inter Miami CF 3 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Milan Iloski · Philadelphia Union · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanley Jean Jacques · Philadelphia Union · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMilan Iloski · Philadelphia Union · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCavan Sullivan · Philadelphia Union · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNeil Pierre · Philadelphia Union · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKai Wagner · Philadelphia Union · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIndiana Vassilev · Philadelphia Union · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLionel Messi · Inter Miami CF · 26′ · 0.08 xG · goalCavan Sullivan · Philadelphia Union · 35′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLionel Messi · Inter Miami CF · 44′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLionel Messi · Inter Miami CF · 78′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCavan Sullivan · Philadelphia Union · 78′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBruno Damiani · Philadelphia Union · 71′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Pinter · Inter Miami CF · 69′ · 0.20 xG · on targetFrankie Westfield · Philadelphia Union · 32′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedDanley Jean Jacques · Philadelphia Union · 52′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedNeil Pierre · Philadelphia Union · 58′ · 0.24 xG · goalCavan Sullivan · Philadelphia Union · 14′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedBruno Damiani · Philadelphia Union · 20′ · 0.26 xG · on targetMilan Iloski · Philadelphia Union · 71′ · 0.35 xG · on targetIndiana Vassilev · Philadelphia Union · 11′ · 0.41 xG · goalDaniel Pinter · Inter Miami CF · 21′ · 0.89 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Philadelphia Union: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.62 xG. Inter Miami CF: 5 shots, 3 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Indiana Vassilev · Philadelphia Union · 11′Neil Pierre · Philadelphia Union · 58′Daniel Pinter · Inter Miami CF · 21′Lionel Messi · Inter Miami CF · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Philadelphia Union 2.62 xG · Inter Miami CF 1.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Philadelphia Union
1Draws
4Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer6–4
Philadelphia Union — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer3–3
Inter Miami CF — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer2–1
Inter Miami CF — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer3–1
Philadelphia Union — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Philadelphia Union favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Inter Miami CF in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Philadelphia Union20 matchesInter Miami CF20 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 2.4 goals/match
1.85 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.9 goals/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 2.22 xG/match
16.3 shots/matchShots20/2015.6 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 6.15 shots/match
46.7%Possession20/20● 56.9%
6 corners/match ●Corners20/205.6 corners/match
3.67 cards/matchCards6/53 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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