Major League Soccer · 2026Wed, 19 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Columbus Crew

LLDWL

vsPre-match analysis

CF Montréal

DLDDL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: CF Montréal's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Columbus Crew have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

CF Montréal's recent record differs from the season

weak

CF Montréal's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	16 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Columbus Crew have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.4%▲PossessionColumbus Crew · CF Montréal47.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Columbus Crew	CF Montréal	Baseline
Possession	57.4%	47.8%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Columbus Crew favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · CF Montréal in 4 · 4 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/161.38 goals/match

1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/162 goals/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲1.47 xG/match

1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.33 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲12.9 shots/match

9.56 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1612 shots/match

4.06 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲4.44 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/164.81 shots/match

57.4%Possessionseason · 16/1647.8%

5.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/165.13 corners/match

3.63 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/164.44 corners/match

1.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/62.33 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1613.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲25%

81%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1663%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Columbus Crew95

CF Montréal38.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Columbus Crew25

CF Montréal36.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Columbus Crew74.5

CF Montréal39.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Columbus Crew8.3

CF Montréal55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew9.2

CF Montréal63.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew63.3

CF Montréal58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Columbus Crew30

CF Montréal55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.49 xG/match

9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲16 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match

61.2%Possession5/549%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/57.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.53 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.7 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.9 shots/match

60.2%Possession10/1046.2%

4.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.6 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

9.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.38 goals/match

1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/162 goals/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.47 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots16/16▲12.9 shots/match

4.06 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲4.44 shots/match

57.4%Possession16/1647.8%

5.25 corners/matchCorners16/165.13 corners/match

1.25 cards/matchCards4/62.33 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 9 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/9▲1.33 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/92.78 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲1.43 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots8/912.2 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target8/94.11 shots/match

58.5%Possession8/949.1%

4.5 corners/matchCorners8/93.78 corners/match

—Cards2/51.8 cards/match

9.5 fouls/matchFouls8/913.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

28 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/128 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 19 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4