Major League Soccer · 2026

Nashville SC 3–2 Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Nashville SC won 3–2.

Shots
133
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
0.780.38
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nashville SC beat Columbus Crew 3–2. Recorded in this match (Nashville SC – Columbus Crew): shots 13–3, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 0.78–0.38, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Nashville SC, Columbus Crew.

3.04 days ▲Rest daysNashville SC · Columbus Crew3.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNashville SCColumbus CrewBaseline
Rest days3.04 days3.04 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Nashville SC have a visible home split

moderate

Nashville SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Nashville SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Nashville SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsNashville SC · Columbus Crew11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNashville SCColumbus CrewBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots3 shotsNashville SC 13 shots, Columbus Crew 3 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsNashville SC 6 shots, Columbus Crew 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG0.38 xGNashville SC 0.78 xG, Columbus Crew 0.38 xG
  • Possession58%42%Nashville SC 58%, Columbus Crew 42%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerNashville SC 8 corners, Columbus Crew 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsNashville SC 8 fouls, Columbus Crew 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardNashville SC 1 card, Columbus Crew 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Patrick Yazbek · Nashville SC · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHany Mukhtar · Nashville SC · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthew Corcoran · Nashville SC · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndré Gomes · Columbus Crew · 68′ · 0.03 xG · goalElias Saad · Nashville SC · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthew Corcoran · Nashville SC · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChase Adams · Columbus Crew · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHany Mukhtar · Nashville SC · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndy Najar · Nashville SC · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalReed Baker-Whiting · Nashville SC · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalSam Surridge · Nashville SC · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHany Mukhtar · Nashville SC · 27′ · 0.07 xG · goalCristian Espinoza · Nashville SC · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSam Surridge · Nashville SC · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJeisson Palacios · Nashville SC · 50′ · 0.24 xG · on targetMohamed Farsi · Columbus Crew · 58′ · 0.29 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nashville SC: 13 shots, 6 on target, 0.81 xG. Columbus Crew: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Hany Mukhtar · Nashville SC · 27′Andy Najar · Nashville SC · 90′Reed Baker-Whiting · Nashville SC · 90′Mohamed Farsi · Columbus Crew · 58′André Gomes · Columbus Crew · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nashville SC 0.81 xG · Columbus Crew 0.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nashville SC
2Draws
1Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer0–1
Nashville SC — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer3–0
Columbus Crew — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer2–2
Columbus Crew — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer2–0
Nashville SC — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nashville SC favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Columbus Crew in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nashville SC21 matchesColumbus Crew21 matches
2.05 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.43 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.71 goals/match
1.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.09 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots21/2111.7 shots/match
4.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/213.9 shots/match
54%Possession21/21● 56.9%
5.19 corners/matchCorners21/215.19 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls21/219.57 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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