Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Nashville SC

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vsPre-match analysis

Columbus Crew

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30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Nashville SC's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Nashville SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Nashville SC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Nashville SC's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.8 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nashville SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Nashville SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match▲ShotsNashville SC · Columbus Crew11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Nashville SC	Columbus Crew	Baseline
Shots	11.3 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	10.2 shots/match	9.56 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Nashville SC

0Draws

0Columbus Crew

14 Mar 2026Columbus Crew — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Nashville SC favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Columbus Crew in 2 · 6 too close

2.06 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161.38 goals/match

0.69 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/161.56 goals/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.09 xG/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/131.17 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1611.5 shots/match

10.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲9.56 shots/match

4.94 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/164.06 shots/match

3.31 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/164 shots/match

54.6%Possessionseason · 16/1657.4%

4.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/165.25 corners/match

4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲3.63 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/41.25 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1610.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1619%

81%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nashville SC78.3

Columbus Crew95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nashville SC57.2

Columbus Crew25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nashville SC93.9

Columbus Crew74.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nashville SC18.3

Columbus Crew8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC33.4

Columbus Crew9.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC28.3

Columbus Crew63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nashville SC39.2

Columbus Crew30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

0.83 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.27 xG/match

8.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲9.8 shots/match

3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

51.4%Possession5/561.2%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/58.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.17 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.4 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match

54.7%Possession10/1060.2%

4.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

2.06 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.38 goals/match

0.69 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.56 goals/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.09 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots16/1611.5 shots/match

4.94 shots/match▲Shots on target16/164.06 shots/match

54.6%Possession16/1657.4%

4.44 corners/matchCorners16/165.25 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 8 matches

2.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/81.5 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/82.13 goals/match

1.5 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.02 xG/match

12.7 shots/match▲Shots9/811 shots/match

5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/83.88 shots/match

57.4%Possession9/856.4%

4.78 corners/matchCorners9/86 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/2—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls9/810.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

31 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/131 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4