Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

FC Cincinnati

DLDWW

vsPre-match analysis

Seattle Sounders FC

WLLLL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Cincinnati's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Seattle Sounders FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FC Cincinnati's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Cincinnati's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.5 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3.6 goals/match	2.5 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Seattle Sounders FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Seattle Sounders FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsFC Cincinnati · Seattle Sounders FC13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	FC Cincinnati	Seattle Sounders FC	Baseline
Shots	13.3 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	16.2 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Seattle Sounders FC have a visible away split

moderate

Seattle Sounders FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Cincinnati favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Seattle Sounders FC in 5 · 4 too close

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/151.27 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/15▲1.27 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/121.48 xG/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/12▲1.33 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1513.5 shots/match

16.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/15▲13.1 shots/match

5.69 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/155.33 shots/match

5.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/15▲4.53 shots/match

48.7%Possessionseason · 16/1552.7%

4.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/155.33 corners/match

4.81 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/156.27 corners/match

2.86 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/32 cards/match

12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/159.07 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/15▲33%

88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Cincinnati45

Seattle Sounders FC70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Cincinnati81.1

Seattle Sounders FC53.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Cincinnati13.3

Seattle Sounders FC55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Cincinnati58.3

Seattle Sounders FC48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Cincinnati66.7

Seattle Sounders FC13.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 60%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Cincinnati28.3

Seattle Sounders FC70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Cincinnati60.4

Seattle Sounders FC55.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

3.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

3 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2.6 goals/match

1.88 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.61 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.8 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.4 shots/match

46.2%Possession5/553.6%

2.8 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

3.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.99 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.67 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.9 shots/match

5.9 shots/matchShots on target10/105.8 shots/match

47.5%Possession10/1054.3%

3.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/108.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 15 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored16/151.27 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed16/15▲1.27 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals14/121.48 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShots16/1513.5 shots/match

5.69 shots/match▲Shots on target16/155.33 shots/match

48.7%Possession16/1552.7%

4.44 corners/matchCorners16/155.33 corners/match

2.86 cards/matchCards7/32 cards/match

12.5 fouls/matchFouls16/159.07 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.75 goals/match

2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.88 goals/match

2.19 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.1 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots8/811.4 shots/match

5.88 shots/match▲Shots on target8/84.38 shots/match

50.1%Possession8/853%

4.38 corners/matchCorners8/84.88 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

13.9 fouls/matchFouls8/810.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

31 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/131 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4