Major League Soccer · 2026

Seattle Sounders FC 1–2 Austin FC · Major League Soccer

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Austin FC won 1–2.

Shots
1912
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
1.271.18
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Austin FC beat Seattle Sounders FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Seattle Sounders FC – Austin FC): shots 19–12, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 1.27–1.18, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Seattle Sounders FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Seattle Sounders FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Seattle Sounders FC, Austin FC.

2.96 days ▲Rest daysSeattle Sounders FC · Austin FC3.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSeattle Sounders FCAustin FCBaseline
Rest days2.96 days3.04 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Seattle Sounders FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Seattle Sounders FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsSeattle Sounders FC · Austin FC10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSeattle Sounders FCAustin FCBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match17.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots12 shotsSeattle Sounders FC 19 shots, Austin FC 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsSeattle Sounders FC 7 shots, Austin FC 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG1.18 xGSeattle Sounders FC 1.27 xG, Austin FC 1.18 xG
  • Possession46%54%Seattle Sounders FC 46%, Austin FC 54%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersSeattle Sounders FC 7 corners, Austin FC 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsSeattle Sounders FC 10 fouls, Austin FC 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsSeattle Sounders FC 1 card, Austin FC 0 cards
  • Passes454 passes561 passesSeattle Sounders FC 454 passes, Austin FC 561 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.4%86.8%Seattle Sounders FC 84.4%, Austin FC 86.8%
  • Shots inside box12 shots6 shotsSeattle Sounders FC 12 shots, Austin FC 6 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks1 blockSeattle Sounders FC 6 blocks, Austin FC 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves6 savesSeattle Sounders FC 5 saves, Austin FC 6 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideSeattle Sounders FC 0 offsides, Austin FC 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jayden Nelson · Austin FC · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPrzemysław Płacheta · Austin FC · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJorge Alastuey · Austin FC · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Rusnák · Seattle Sounders FC · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJorge Alastuey · Austin FC · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPrzemysław Płacheta · Austin FC · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPeter Kingston · Seattle Sounders FC · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedŽan Kolmanič · Austin FC · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKalani Kossa-Rienzi · Seattle Sounders FC · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Rusnák · Seattle Sounders FC · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNouhou Tolo · Seattle Sounders FC · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPaul Rothrock · Seattle Sounders FC · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStuart Hawkins · Seattle Sounders FC · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalAlbert Rusnák · Seattle Sounders FC · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSnyder Brunell · Seattle Sounders FC · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Rusnák · Seattle Sounders FC · 85′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPaul Rothrock · Seattle Sounders FC · 50′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDaniel Musovski · Seattle Sounders FC · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Musovski · Seattle Sounders FC · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Musovski · Seattle Sounders FC · 61′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSnyder Brunell · Seattle Sounders FC · 58′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKalani Kossa-Rienzi · Seattle Sounders FC · 76′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedErvin Torres · Austin FC · 86′ · 0.11 xG · on targetBrandon Vázquez · Austin FC · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAlbert Rusnák · Seattle Sounders FC · 57′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPaul Rothrock · Seattle Sounders FC · 55′ · 0.13 xG · on targetPaul Rothrock · Seattle Sounders FC · 78′ · 0.14 xG · on targetFacundo Torres · Austin FC · 66′ · 0.19 xG · goalErvin Torres · Austin FC · 86′ · 0.19 xG · on targetCalvin Fodrey · Austin FC · 33′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Biro · Austin FC · 87′ · 0.23 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Seattle Sounders FC: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.25 xG. Austin FC: 12 shots, 7 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Stuart Hawkins · Seattle Sounders FC · 90′Facundo Torres · Austin FC · 66′Guilherme Biro · Austin FC · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Seattle Sounders FC 1.25 xG · Austin FC 1.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Seattle Sounders FC
1Draws
2Austin FC
Austin FC — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer3–1
Austin FC — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer2–1
Seattle Sounders FC — Austin FC · Major League Soccer2–0
Austin FC — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer0–1
Seattle Sounders FC — Austin FC · Major League Soccer0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Seattle Sounders FC favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Austin FC in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Seattle Sounders FC19 matchesAustin FC20 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored19/20▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/201.95 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/170.95 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots19/2010.4 shots/match
4.79 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/204.15 shots/match
51.7% ●Possession19/2048.4%
4.95 corners/match ●Corners19/204.35 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match
9.74 fouls/matchFouls19/2011 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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