Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Seattle Sounders FC

WLLLL

vsPre-match analysis

Austin FC

DLLLW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Seattle Sounders FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Seattle Sounders FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Seattle Sounders FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Seattle Sounders FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsSeattle Sounders FC · Austin FC10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Seattle Sounders FC	Austin FC	Baseline
Shots	13.5 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	13.1 shots/match	17.6 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Seattle Sounders FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Seattle Sounders FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.27 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Seattle Sounders FC have a visible home split

moderate

Seattle Sounders FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Seattle Sounders FC

0Draws

1Austin FC

23 Jul 2026Austin — Seattle Sounders · Major League Soccer3–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Seattle Sounders FC favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Austin FC in 1 · 5 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/16▲1.38 goals/match

1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/162 goals/match

1.48 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/130.95 xG/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/132.14 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1610.2 shots/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1617.6 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/164 shots/match

4.53 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/166.88 shots/match

52.7%Possessionseason · 15/1647.4%

5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/164.31 corners/match

6.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/166.31 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match

9.07 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1611 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1625%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Seattle Sounders FC70

Austin FC35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Seattle Sounders FC53.9

Austin FC15.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Seattle Sounders FC55

Austin FC8.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Seattle Sounders FC48.3

Austin FC21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Seattle Sounders FC13.3

Austin FC25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Seattle Sounders FC70

Austin FC16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Seattle Sounders FC55.4

Austin FC13.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match

2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.6 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.73 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match

53.6%Possession5/547.4%

5 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.3 goals/match

1.67 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.92 xG/match

14.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match

5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match

54.3%Possession10/1048.3%

5.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 16 matches

1.27 goals/matchGoals scored15/16▲1.38 goals/match

1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/162 goals/match

1.48 xG/match▲Expected goals12/130.95 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots15/1610.2 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target15/164 shots/match

52.7%Possession15/1647.4%

5.33 corners/matchCorners15/164.31 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

9.07 fouls/matchFouls15/1611 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/81.25 goals/match

1.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/83.13 goals/match

1.87 xG/match▲Expected goals6/70.93 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots7/88.5 shots/match

6.43 shots/match▲Shots on target7/83 shots/match

52.4%Possession7/840.6%

5.86 corners/matchCorners7/83.25 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

7.86 fouls/matchFouls7/811.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

28 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/128 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples15 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4