Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

moderate

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.1 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match10.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Colorado Rapids have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.4%PossessionColorado Rapids · Los Angeles FC46.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricColorado RapidsLos Angeles FCBaseline
Possession55.4%46.4%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Colorado Rapids
1Draws
0Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FCColorado Rapids · Major League Soccer00

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Colorado Rapids favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Los Angeles FC in 8 · 4 too close

1.63 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/171.76 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/171.06 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/141.25 xG/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/141.24 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1713.9 shots/match
11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1712.5 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/174.76 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/173.94 shots/match
55.4%Possessionseason · 16/1746.4%
4.81 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/175.82 corners/match
4.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/175.24 corners/match
3.57 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/32 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1711.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1759%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1788%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Colorado Rapids85
Los Angeles FC21.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Colorado Rapids26.7
Los Angeles FC66.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Colorado Rapids63.9
Los Angeles FC73.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Colorado Rapids5
Los Angeles FC85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids95
Los Angeles FC30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids51.7
Los Angeles FC81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Colorado Rapids43
Los Angeles FC62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.74 xG/match
9.4 shots/matchShots5/515.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
53.4%Possession5/545.8%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match
Cards2/0
15.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.25 xG/match
9.9 shots/matchShots10/1013.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104.5 shots/match
56.7%Possession10/1045.7%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/105.9 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards3/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 17 matches
1.63 goals/matchGoals scored16/171.76 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed16/171.06 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals13/141.25 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots16/1713.9 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target16/174.76 shots/match
55.4%Possession16/1746.4%
4.81 corners/matchCorners16/175.82 corners/match
3.57 cards/matchCards7/32 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1711.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches
2.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/81.5 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/81.13 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals5/71.31 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots7/814 shots/match
5.14 shots/matchShots on target7/85.13 shots/match
56%Possession7/847.9%
5.71 corners/matchCorners7/85.63 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/1
13.6 fouls/matchFouls7/810.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

28 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/128 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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