Major League Soccer · 2026

Real Salt Lake 3–4 FC Dallas · Major League Soccer

3–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Dallas won 3–4.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.671.92
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Dallas beat Real Salt Lake 4–3. Recorded in this match (Real Salt Lake – FC Dallas): shots 14–13, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.67–1.92, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Salt Lake, FC Dallas.

4 days ▲Rest daysReal Salt Lake · FC Dallas3.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal Salt LakeFC DallasBaseline
Rest days4 days3.04 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Real Salt Lake's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Salt Lake's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.74 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Salt Lake have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.4% ●PossessionReal Salt Lake · FC Dallas41.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal Salt LakeFC DallasBaseline
Possession50.4%41.6%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsReal Salt Lake 14 shots, FC Dallas 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsReal Salt Lake 7 shots, FC Dallas 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG1.92 xGReal Salt Lake 1.67 xG, FC Dallas 1.92 xG
  • Possession59%41%Real Salt Lake 59%, FC Dallas 41%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersReal Salt Lake 6 corners, FC Dallas 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsReal Salt Lake 11 fouls, FC Dallas 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsReal Salt Lake 3 cards, FC Dallas 3 cards
  • Passes568 passes404 passesReal Salt Lake 568 passes, FC Dallas 404 passes
  • Pass accuracy85%78.5%Real Salt Lake 85%, FC Dallas 78.5%
  • Shots inside box9 shots7 shotsReal Salt Lake 9 shots, FC Dallas 7 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockReal Salt Lake 2 blocks, FC Dallas 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesReal Salt Lake 1 save, FC Dallas 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideReal Salt Lake 0 offsides, FC Dallas 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Santiago Moreno · FC Dallas · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · Real Salt Lake · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRan Binyamin · FC Dallas · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalSergi Solans · Real Salt Lake · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaick · FC Dallas · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego Luna · Real Salt Lake · 89′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHerman Johansson · FC Dallas · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRan Binyamin · FC Dallas · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Ruíz · Real Salt Lake · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNoel Caliskan · Real Salt Lake · 1′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDiego Luna · Real Salt Lake · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSergi Solans · Real Salt Lake · 38′ · 0.07 xG · goalDiego Luna · Real Salt Lake · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoaquín Valiente · FC Dallas · 17′ · 0.08 xG · goalLogan Farrington · FC Dallas · 59′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPetar Musa · FC Dallas · 35′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSergi Solans · Real Salt Lake · 48′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDiego Luna · Real Salt Lake · 64′ · 0.14 xG · goalDeAndre Yedlin · Real Salt Lake · 41′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJoaquín Valiente · FC Dallas · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPetar Musa · FC Dallas · 45′ · 0.19 xG · goalNoel Caliskan · Real Salt Lake · 37′ · 0.20 xG · on targetLogan Farrington · FC Dallas · 88′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedPetar Musa · FC Dallas · 20′ · 0.29 xG · goalMorgan Guilavogui · Real Salt Lake · 50′ · 0.32 xG · goalSergi Solans · Real Salt Lake · 31′ · 0.33 xG · on targetPetar Musa · FC Dallas · 22′ · 0.63 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Salt Lake: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.66 xG. FC Dallas: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Sergi Solans · Real Salt Lake · 38′Morgan Guilavogui · Real Salt Lake · 50′Diego Luna · Real Salt Lake · 64′Joaquín Valiente · FC Dallas · 17′Petar Musa · FC Dallas · 20′Petar Musa · FC Dallas · 45′Ran Binyamin · FC Dallas · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Salt Lake 1.66 xG · FC Dallas 1.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Salt Lake
2Draws
2FC Dallas
FC Dallas — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer3–1
FC Dallas — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer1–1
Real Salt Lake — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer0–1
Real Salt Lake — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer3–2
FC Dallas — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Salt Lake favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · FC Dallas in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Salt Lake19 matchesFC Dallas20 matches
1.74 goals/matchGoals scored19/20▲ 1.9 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed19/20▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/171.5 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots19/2012.2 shots/match
5.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/204.5 shots/match
50.4% ●Possession19/2041.6%
4.89 corners/match ●Corners19/204.3 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/62.17 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls19/2013.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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