Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Real Salt Lake

LWWDL

vsPre-match analysis

FC Dallas

WLWWD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Dallas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Salt Lake have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FC Dallas's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Dallas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Salt Lake have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.3%▲PossessionReal Salt Lake · FC Dallas42.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Real Salt Lake	FC Dallas	Baseline
Possession	51.3%	42.8%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Salt Lake

0Draws

1FC Dallas

10 May 2026FC Dallas — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer3–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Salt Lake favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · FC Dallas in 3 · 5 too close

1.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/16▲2 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/161.5 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/131.58 xG/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/131.3 xG/match

16.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1611.9 shots/match

12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/16▲10.5 shots/match

5.93 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/164.63 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/164.13 shots/match

51.3%Possessionseason · 15/1642.8%

4.73 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/164.31 corners/match

5.2 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/165.69 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/52.2 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1613.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/16▲19%

87%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Salt Lake61.7

FC Dallas5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Salt Lake83.9

FC Dallas55.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Salt Lake63.9

FC Dallas74.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Salt Lake91.7

FC Dallas65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Salt Lake54.1

FC Dallas58.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Salt Lake45

FC Dallas16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Salt Lake69.2

FC Dallas45.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.08 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.71 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match

57.8%Possession5/538.8%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.8 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

1.62 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.47 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.1 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match

55%Possession10/1041.4%

4.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 16 matches

1.8 goals/matchGoals scored15/16▲2 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed15/161.5 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goals12/131.58 xG/match

16.1 shots/match▲Shots15/1611.9 shots/match

5.93 shots/match▲Shots on target15/164.63 shots/match

51.3%Possession15/1642.8%

4.73 corners/matchCorners15/164.31 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/52.2 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1613.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/72 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/71.14 goals/match

1.91 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.53 xG/match

17.4 shots/match▲Shots8/711.7 shots/match

7.25 shots/match▲Shots on target8/75.43 shots/match

50.1%Possession8/741.3%

4.25 corners/matchCorners8/74.43 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls8/712.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

28 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/128 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples15 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4