St.Louis City
Major League Soccer · 2026St.Louis City 2–1 Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
St.Louis City won 2–1.
- Shots
- 10–18
- Shots on target
- 5–4
- Expected goals
- 1.23–1.16
- Possession
- 48%–52%
Full time
What the match recorded
St.Louis City beat Houston Dynamo 2–1. Recorded in this match (St.Louis City – Houston Dynamo): shots 10–18, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.23–1.16, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
moderateA compressed recent schedule is recorded for St.Louis City, Houston Dynamo.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | St.Louis City | Houston Dynamo | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 3.02 days | 2.92 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
St.Louis City: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.23 xG. Houston Dynamo: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.19 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: St.Louis City 1.23 xG · Houston Dynamo 1.19 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: St.Louis City favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Houston Dynamo in 1 · 6 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
St.Louis City / Houston Dynamo
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.