Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Sporting Kansas City

WWLLW

vsPre-match analysis

St.Louis City

WDWWW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: St.Louis City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.13 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

St.Louis City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

St.Louis City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.56 shots/match▲ShotsSporting Kansas City · St.Louis City14.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sporting Kansas City	St.Louis City	Baseline
Shots	9.56 shots/match	14.1 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	16.6 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sporting Kansas City

0Draws

1St.Louis City

17 Jul 2026St. Louis City — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer3–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sporting Kansas City favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · St.Louis City in 11 · 3 too close

1.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲1.38 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.44 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲1.62 xG/match

1.98 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.18 xG/match

9.56 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲14.1 shots/match

16.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲11.4 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲4.63 shots/match

6.06 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4.19 shots/match

44.3%Possessionseason · 16/1649.8%

3.81 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/165.88 corners/match

5.94 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲4.5 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/53.2 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1613.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲13%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲75%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sporting Kansas City8.3

St.Louis City48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sporting Kansas City7.8

St.Louis City52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sporting Kansas City10

St.Louis City76.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sporting Kansas City25

St.Louis City75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sporting Kansas City43.3

St.Louis City83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sporting Kansas City8.3

St.Louis City86.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sporting Kansas City26.2

St.Louis City71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.49 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.65 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShots5/515 shots/match

6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.2 shots/match

47.4%Possession5/549.6%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match

2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.04 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.75 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.3 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.4 shots/match

43.7%Possession10/1050.4%

4.2 corners/matchCorners10/106 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

14.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.13 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲1.38 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.44 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.62 xG/match

9.56 shots/matchShots16/16▲14.1 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲4.63 shots/match

44.3%Possession16/1649.8%

3.81 corners/matchCorners16/165.88 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/53.2 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 9 matches

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored8/90.89 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/9▲1.56 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals6/8▲1.57 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots8/9▲12.8 shots/match

5.38 shots/match▲Shots on target8/93.67 shots/match

43.1%Possession8/948.9%

3.88 corners/matchCorners8/96 corners/match

—Cards2/34.33 cards/match

12.1 fouls/matchFouls8/912.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

28 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/127.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4