Major League Soccer · 2026Wed, 19 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

DC United

DLDDD

vsPre-match analysis

New England Revolution

LWLDL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: New England Revolution have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

New England Revolution have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.5%▲PossessionDC United · New England Revolution50.1%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	DC United	New England Revolution	Baseline
Possession	39.5%	50.1%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0DC United

0Draws

1New England Revolution

11 Apr 2026New England Revolution — DC United · Major League Soccer1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

DC United favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · New England Revolution in 3 · 8 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/161.38 goals/match

1.63 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.25 goals/match

1.4 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/141.13 xG/match

1.46 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/14▲1.37 xG/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1610.1 shots/match

13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲13.1 shots/match

4.19 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/163.69 shots/match

5.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/165.38 shots/match

39.5%Possessionseason · 16/1650.1%

4.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.19 corners/match

5.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/165.5 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/43 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1625%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

DC United1.7

New England Revolution51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

DC United31.6

New England Revolution13.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

DC United31.1

New England Revolution48.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

DC United81.7

New England Revolution15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

DC United67.5

New England Revolution55.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

DC United40

New England Revolution11.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

DC United47.5

New England Revolution12.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.31 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.88 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

37.8%Possession5/554.4%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

15.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.06 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.9 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match

38.8%Possession10/1052.4%

4.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/109.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.38 goals/match

1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.25 goals/match

1.4 xG/match▲Expected goals13/141.13 xG/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots16/1610.1 shots/match

4.19 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.69 shots/match

39.5%Possession16/1650.1%

4.56 corners/matchCorners16/164.19 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/43 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored7/60.83 goals/match

2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲1.83 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals5/41.15 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots7/68.83 shots/match

5.29 shots/match▲Shots on target7/63.33 shots/match

43.1%Possession7/646.2%

5.71 corners/matchCorners7/63 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match

15.3 fouls/matchFouls7/611.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

28 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/111.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 19 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4