Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Charlotte FC

DLWWD

vsPre-match analysis

DC United

DLDDD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Charlotte FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charlotte FC have a visible home split

moderate

Charlotte FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlotte FC favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · DC United in 1 · 7 too close

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161.38 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.63 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.4 xG/match

1.22 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.46 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1611.8 shots/match

13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1613.9 shots/match

4.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/164.19 shots/match

5.38 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/165.25 shots/match

47.3%Possessionseason · 16/1639.5%

4.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.56 corners/match

4.25 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/165.63 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/52.4 cards/match

9.63 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1614.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲25%

75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlotte FC31.7

DC United1.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlotte FC47.2

DC United31.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlotte FC33.9

DC United31.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlotte FC28.3

DC United81.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlotte FC25.9

DC United67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 66%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlotte FC48.3

DC United40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlotte FC35.8

DC United47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.31 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shots5/512.6 shots/match

5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match

46%Possession5/537.8%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

1.6 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.56 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.1 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.2 shots/match

45%Possession10/1038.8%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

9.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.38 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.63 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.4 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots16/1611.8 shots/match

4.88 shots/match▲Shots on target16/164.19 shots/match

47.3%Possession16/1639.5%

4.75 corners/matchCorners16/164.56 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match

9.63 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 9 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/91.22 goals/match

1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/91.11 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals9/81.53 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots10/910.7 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/93.33 shots/match

49.6%Possession10/936.7%

5.8 corners/matchCorners10/93.67 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/2—

8.9 fouls/matchFouls10/913.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

31 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/131 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4