Major League Soccer · 2026

Charlotte FC 3–1 DC United · Major League Soccer

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Charlotte FC won 3–1.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.811.27
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Charlotte FC beat DC United 3–1. Recorded in this match (Charlotte FC – DC United): shots 11–17, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.81–1.27, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charlotte FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlotte FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.81 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlotte FC, DC United.

3 days ▲Rest daysCharlotte FC · DC United3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCharlotte FCDC UnitedBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Charlotte FC have a visible home split

moderate

Charlotte FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsCharlotte FC 11 shots, DC United 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsCharlotte FC 5 shots, DC United 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.81 xG1.27 xGCharlotte FC 1.81 xG, DC United 1.27 xG
  • Possession61%39%Charlotte FC 61%, DC United 39%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersCharlotte FC 4 corners, DC United 9 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsCharlotte FC 15 fouls, DC United 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsCharlotte FC 2 cards, DC United 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Brandon Servania · DC United · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMorrison Agyemang · Charlotte FC · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHenry Kessler · Charlotte FC · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBrandon Servania · DC United · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJackson Hopkins · DC United · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAllan Saint-Maximin · Charlotte FC · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLouis Munteanu · DC United · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSilvan Hefti · DC United · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKimito Nono · DC United · 18′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoão Peglow · DC United · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLouis Munteanu · DC United · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKimito Nono · DC United · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Peglow · DC United · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Peglow · DC United · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLouis Munteanu · DC United · 55′ · 0.05 xG · goalDjibril Diani · Charlotte FC · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucas Bartlett · DC United · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSilvan Hefti · DC United · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIdan Toklomati · Charlotte FC · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMorrison Agyemang · Charlotte FC · 63′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLouis Munteanu · DC United · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPep Biel · Charlotte FC · 21′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRodolfo Aloko · Charlotte FC · 59′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedWill Cleary · Charlotte FC · 66′ · 0.20 xG · goalPep Biel · Charlotte FC · 77′ · 0.23 xG · goalJackson Hopkins · DC United · 65′ · 0.34 xG · on targetJackson Hopkins · DC United · 65′ · 0.36 xG · on targetDavid Schnegg · Charlotte FC · 64′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlotte FC: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.94 xG. DC United: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′David Schnegg · Charlotte FC · 64′Will Cleary · Charlotte FC · 66′Pep Biel · Charlotte FC · 77′Louis Munteanu · DC United · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlotte FC 1.94 xG · DC United 1.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Charlotte FC
1Draws
0DC United
DC United — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer0–1
Charlotte FC — DC United · Major League Soccer2–1
DC United — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer0–3
Charlotte FC — DC United · Major League Soccer1–0
Charlotte FC — DC United · Major League Soccer0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Charlotte FC favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · DC United in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Charlotte FC21 matchesDC United21 matches
1.81 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.33 goals/match
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.71 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.43 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 12.4 shots/match
4.95 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214.38 shots/match
47.1% ●Possession21/2139.5%
4.43 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/62.67 cards/match
9.52 fouls/matchFouls21/2113.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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