Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

CF Montréal

DLDDL

vsPre-match analysis

DC United

DLDDD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.9 fouls/match▲FoulsCF Montréal · DC United14.2 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	CF Montréal	DC United	Baseline
Fouls	13.9 fouls/match	14.2 fouls/match	12.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

CF Montréal have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.8%▲PossessionCF Montréal · DC United39.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	CF Montréal	DC United	Baseline
Possession	47.8%	39.5%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0CF Montréal

1Draws

0DC United

23 May 2026DC United — CF Montreal · Major League Soccer4–4

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

CF Montréal favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · DC United in 2 · 6 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/161.38 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.63 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/131.4 xG/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.46 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1611.8 shots/match

12 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1613.9 shots/match

4.44 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/164.19 shots/match

4.81 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/165.25 shots/match

47.8%Possessionseason · 16/1639.5%

5.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.56 corners/match

4.44 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/165.63 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/52.4 cards/match

13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1614.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1625%

63%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲69%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

CF Montréal38.3

DC United1.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

CF Montréal36.7

DC United31.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

CF Montréal39.4

DC United31.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

CF Montréal55

DC United81.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

CF Montréal63.4

DC United67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 66%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

CF Montréal58.3

DC United40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

CF Montréal55

DC United47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

1.49 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.31 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots5/512.6 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match

49%Possession5/537.8%

7.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

1.53 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.56 xG/match

13.7 shots/matchShots10/1013.1 shots/match

4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.2 shots/match

46.2%Possession10/1038.8%

5.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.38 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.63 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.4 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots16/1611.8 shots/match

4.44 shots/match▲Shots on target16/164.19 shots/match

47.8%Possession16/1639.5%

5.13 corners/matchCorners16/164.56 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards6/52.4 cards/match

13.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 9 matches

1.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/91.22 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/91.11 goals/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals7/81.53 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shots7/910.7 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/93.33 shots/match

46.1%Possession7/936.7%

6.86 corners/matchCorners7/93.67 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

14.9 fouls/matchFouls7/913.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/124 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness24 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4