Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledBC PlacePre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.5 shots/matchShotsVancouver Whitecaps · Los Angeles FC13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FCBaseline
Shots17.5 shots/match13.9 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against8.33 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.33 corners/matchCornersVancouver Whitecaps · Los Angeles FC5.82 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FCBaseline
Corners5.33 corners/match5.82 corners/match4.78 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Vancouver Whitecaps have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.9%PossessionVancouver Whitecaps · Los Angeles FC46.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FCBaseline
Possession54.9%46.4%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Vancouver Whitecaps favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Los Angeles FC in 1 · 5 too close

2.47 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/171.76 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/171.06 goals/match
2.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/141.25 xG/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/141.24 xG/match
17.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1713.9 shots/match
8.33 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1712.5 shots/match
6.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/174.76 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/173.94 shots/match
54.9%Possessionseason · 15/1746.4%
5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/175.82 corners/match
3.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/175.24 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/32 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1711.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1759%
87%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1788%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Vancouver Whitecaps81.7
Los Angeles FC21.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Vancouver Whitecaps95
Los Angeles FC66.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Vancouver Whitecaps96.1
Los Angeles FC75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Vancouver Whitecaps95
Los Angeles FC85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Vancouver Whitecaps81.7
Los Angeles FC30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Vancouver Whitecaps70
Los Angeles FC81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Vancouver Whitecaps90.4
Los Angeles FC62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.74 xG/match
16.2 shots/matchShots5/515.6 shots/match
6.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
55.6%Possession5/545.8%
4 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match
Cards2/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
2.38 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.25 xG/match
19.2 shots/matchShots10/1013.4 shots/match
7.1 shots/matchShots on target10/104.5 shots/match
53.8%Possession10/1045.7%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.9 corners/match
Cards2/0
15.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 17 matches
2.47 goals/matchGoals scored15/171.76 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed15/171.06 goals/match
2.4 xG/matchExpected goals12/141.25 xG/match
17.5 shots/matchShots15/1713.9 shots/match
6.8 shots/matchShots on target15/174.76 shots/match
54.9%Possession15/1746.4%
5.33 corners/matchCorners15/175.82 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/32 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1711.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
2.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.5 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.13 goals/match
3.02 xG/matchExpected goals6/71.31 xG/match
18.4 shots/matchShots8/814 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on target8/85.13 shots/match
53.5%Possession8/847.9%
6.38 corners/matchCorners8/85.63 corners/match
Cards2/1
16.6 fouls/matchFouls8/810.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.88 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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