Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 02:30 UTCScheduledBMO StadiumPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Los Angeles FC, Sporting Kansas City. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Los Angeles FC, Sporting Kansas City.

3 daysRest daysLos Angeles FC · Sporting Kansas City3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLos Angeles FCSporting Kansas CityBaseline
Rest days3 days3.08 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Los Angeles FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Los Angeles FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/matchShotsLos Angeles FC · Sporting Kansas City9.56 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLos Angeles FCSporting Kansas CityBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match9.56 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Los Angeles FC favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Sporting Kansas City in 0 · 3 too close

1.76 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/161.13 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/162.5 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/130.95 xG/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/131.98 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/169.56 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/1616.6 shots/match
4.76 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/164.13 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/166.06 shots/match
46.4%Possessionseason · 17/1644.3%
5.82 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/163.81 corners/match
5.24 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/165.94 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.33 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1613.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
59%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/160%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Los Angeles FC21.7
Sporting Kansas City8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Los Angeles FC66.1
Sporting Kansas City7.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Los Angeles FC75
Sporting Kansas City10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Los Angeles FC85
Sporting Kansas City25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC30
Sporting Kansas City43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC81.7
Sporting Kansas City8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Los Angeles FC62.5
Sporting Kansas City26.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.49 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots5/514.6 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/56.6 shots/match
45.8%Possession5/547.4%
7 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
9 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.6 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.04 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots10/1011.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.8 shots/match
45.7%Possession10/1043.7%
5.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 16 matches
1.76 goals/matchGoals scored17/161.13 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed17/162.5 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals14/130.95 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots17/169.56 shots/match
4.76 shots/matchShots on target17/164.13 shots/match
46.4%Possession17/1644.3%
5.82 corners/matchCorners17/163.81 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1613.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 8 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored9/80.88 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed9/83.13 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals7/70.66 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots9/88.88 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target9/82.88 shots/match
45.1%Possession9/845.4%
6 corners/matchCorners9/83.75 corners/match
Cards2/1
12.1 fouls/matchFouls9/814.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.08 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness3 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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