PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Stanford Stadium
1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

San Jose Earthquakes and LA Galaxy drew 1–1.

Shots
209
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
3.221.29
Possession
58%42%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots9 shotsSan Jose Earthquakes 20 shots, LA Galaxy 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsSan Jose Earthquakes 5 shots, LA Galaxy 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.22 xG1.29 xGSan Jose Earthquakes 3.22 xG, LA Galaxy 1.29 xG
  • Possession58%42%San Jose Earthquakes 58%, LA Galaxy 42%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersSan Jose Earthquakes 6 corners, LA Galaxy 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsSan Jose Earthquakes 14 fouls, LA Galaxy 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsSan Jose Earthquakes 4 cards, LA Galaxy 3 cards
  • Passes453 passes336 passesSan Jose Earthquakes 453 passes, LA Galaxy 336 passes
  • Pass accuracy83%75%San Jose Earthquakes 83%, LA Galaxy 75%
  • Shots inside box17 shots7 shotsSan Jose Earthquakes 17 shots, LA Galaxy 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks4 blocksSan Jose Earthquakes 4 blocks, LA Galaxy 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesSan Jose Earthquakes 1 save, LA Galaxy 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideSan Jose Earthquakes 0 offsides, LA Galaxy 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Daniel Munie · San Jose Earthquakes · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusseni Bouda · San Jose Earthquakes · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiki Yamane · LA Galaxy · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJustin Haak · LA Galaxy · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBeau Leroux · San Jose Earthquakes · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBeau Leroux · San Jose Earthquakes · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · San Jose Earthquakes · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoseph Paintsil · LA Galaxy · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdwin Cerrillo · LA Galaxy · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Kikanović · San Jose Earthquakes · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Kikanović · San Jose Earthquakes · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIan Harkes · San Jose Earthquakes · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · LA Galaxy · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · San Jose Earthquakes · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJack Skahan · San Jose Earthquakes · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIan Harkes · San Jose Earthquakes · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · San Jose Earthquakes · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOusseni Bouda · San Jose Earthquakes · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNick Fernandez · San Jose Earthquakes · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Paintsil · LA Galaxy · 68′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedOusseni Bouda · San Jose Earthquakes · 2′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Kikanović · San Jose Earthquakes · 62′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Paintsil · LA Galaxy · 83′ · 0.23 xG · on targetJoseph Paintsil · LA Galaxy · 2′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Paintsil · LA Galaxy · 13′ · 0.42 xG · goalJack Skahan · San Jose Earthquakes · 9′ · 0.56 xG · on targetReid Roberts · San Jose Earthquakes · 62′ · 0.66 xG · goalTimo Werner · San Jose Earthquakes · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

San Jose Earthquakes: 19 shots, 5 on target, 3.10 xG. LA Galaxy: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.29 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Reid Roberts · San Jose Earthquakes · 62′Joseph Paintsil · LA Galaxy · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: San Jose Earthquakes 3.10 xG · LA Galaxy 1.29 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

San Jose Earthquakes and LA Galaxy drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (San Jose Earthquakes – LA Galaxy): shots 20–9, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 3.22–1.29, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible home split

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.7 shots/match14.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Jose Earthquakes, LA Galaxy.

3 days ▲Rest daysSan Jose Earthquakes · LA Galaxy3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesLA GalaxyBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

LA Galaxy's recent record differs from the season

weak

LA Galaxy's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.33 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1San Jose Earthquakes
1Draws
3LA Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes — LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer1–1
LA Galaxy — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer0–1
San Jose Earthquakes — LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer0–3
LA Galaxy — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer4–3
San Jose Earthquakes — LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: San Jose Earthquakes favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · LA Galaxy in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

San Jose Earthquakes17 matchesLA Galaxy18 matches
2.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/181.33 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/181.61 goals/match
1.86 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/151.5 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots17/1812.9 shots/match
5.65 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/185.17 shots/match
47.5%Possession17/18● 49.8%
7.06 corners/match ●Corners17/185.39 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls17/1810.2 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

San Jose Earthquakes31.7
LA Galaxy48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

San Jose Earthquakes84.4
LA Galaxy51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

San Jose Earthquakes76.1
LA Galaxy43.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

San Jose Earthquakes81.7
LA Galaxy45.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

San Jose Earthquakes48.4
LA Galaxy51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 64%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

San Jose Earthquakes98.3
LA Galaxy75.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

San Jose Earthquakes81.2
LA Galaxy54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Rest before fixture · Both teams: 3 days
1 matchMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

San Jose Earthquakes / LA Galaxy

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSan Jose EarthquakesLA Galaxy
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headSan Jose Earthquakes — LA Galaxy
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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