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Major League Soccer · 2026Earthquakes Stadium

San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer

0–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Orlando City SC won 0–4.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
78
Expected goals
1.181.61
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Orlando City SC beat San Jose Earthquakes 4–0. Recorded in this match (San Jose Earthquakes – Orlando City SC): shots 11–15, shots on target 7–8, expected goals 1.18–1.61, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible home split

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Orlando City SC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Orlando City SC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.69 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Jose Earthquakes show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

San Jose Earthquakes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSan Jose Earthquakes · Orlando City SC11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SCBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.1 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match18.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsSan Jose Earthquakes 11 shots, Orlando City SC 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots8 shotsSan Jose Earthquakes 7 shots, Orlando City SC 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG1.61 xGSan Jose Earthquakes 1.18 xG, Orlando City SC 1.61 xG
  • Possession52%48%San Jose Earthquakes 52%, Orlando City SC 48%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersSan Jose Earthquakes 3 corners, Orlando City SC 2 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls10 foulsSan Jose Earthquakes 20 fouls, Orlando City SC 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsSan Jose Earthquakes 4 cards, Orlando City SC 2 cards
  • Passes418 passes408 passesSan Jose Earthquakes 418 passes, Orlando City SC 408 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.1%78.2%San Jose Earthquakes 81.1%, Orlando City SC 78.2%
  • Shots inside box7 shots12 shotsSan Jose Earthquakes 7 shots, Orlando City SC 12 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block2 blocksSan Jose Earthquakes 1 block, Orlando City SC 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves7 savesSan Jose Earthquakes 4 saves, Orlando City SC 7 saves
  • Offsides7 offsides5 offsidesSan Jose Earthquakes 7 offsides, Orlando City SC 5 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antoine Griezmann · Orlando City SC · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavid Brekalo · Orlando City SC · 12′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOusseni Bouda · San Jose Earthquakes · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOusseni Bouda · San Jose Earthquakes · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBraian Ojeda · Orlando City SC · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusseni Bouda · San Jose Earthquakes · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJonathan Gonzalez · San Jose Earthquakes · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBeau Leroux · San Jose Earthquakes · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIván Angulo · Orlando City SC · 30′ · 0.04 xG · goalBraian Ojeda · Orlando City SC · 72′ · 0.04 xG · goalTimo Werner · San Jose Earthquakes · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTiago Souza · Orlando City SC · 11′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · San Jose Earthquakes · 57′ · 0.10 xG · on targetHarvey Sarajian · Orlando City SC · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTiago Souza · Orlando City SC · 13′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTiago Souza · Orlando City SC · 14′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBeau Leroux · San Jose Earthquakes · 18′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Orlando City SC · 48′ · 0.12 xG · goalEduard Atuesta · Orlando City SC · 72′ · 0.13 xG · on targetBeau Leroux · San Jose Earthquakes · 38′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJustin Ellis · Orlando City SC · 45′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedOusseni Bouda · San Jose Earthquakes · 74′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDavid Brekalo · Orlando City SC · 7′ · 0.24 xG · goalTyrese Spicer · Orlando City SC · 86′ · 0.25 xG · on targetJack Skahan · San Jose Earthquakes · 57′ · 0.35 xG · on targetTyrese Spicer · Orlando City SC · 63′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

San Jose Earthquakes: 11 shots, 7 on target, 1.07 xG. Orlando City SC: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′David Brekalo · Orlando City SC · 7′Iván Angulo · Orlando City SC · 30′Antoine Griezmann · Orlando City SC · 48′Braian Ojeda · Orlando City SC · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: San Jose Earthquakes 1.07 xG · Orlando City SC 1.80 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0San Jose Earthquakes
0Draws
2Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer0–1
Orlando City SC — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: San Jose Earthquakes favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Orlando City SC in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

San Jose Earthquakes16 matchesOrlando City SC16 matches
2.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.69 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/162.75 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.29 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots16/1611.1 shots/match
5.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/164.63 shots/match
46.8% ●Possession16/1645.3%
7.13 corners/match ●Corners16/163.69 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/42.75 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSan Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headSan Jose Earthquakes — Orlando City SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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