Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 02:30 UTCFull timeProvidence ParkFull-time recap

Portland Timbers

WDLLW

2–2Full-time recap

FC Dallas

WWLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Portland Timbers	FC Dallas
Shots	16 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.21 xG/match▲	0.93 xG/match
Possession	63%	37%
Corners	5 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Portland Timbers's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: FC Dallas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Portland Timbers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Portland Timbers's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.2 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Dallas show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Dallas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match▲ShotsPortland Timbers · FC Dallas11.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Portland Timbers	FC Dallas	Baseline
Shots	12.9 shots/match	11.9 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	17 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Portland Timbers favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · FC Dallas in 10 · 3 too close

1.81 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲2 goals/match

1.94 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.5 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲1.58 xG/match

1.68 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.3 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1611.9 shots/match

17 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲10.5 shots/match

4.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/164.63 shots/match

6.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4.13 shots/match

50.6%Possessionseason · 16/1642.8%

4.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.31 corners/match

6.44 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲5.69 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/5▲2.2 cards/match

9.75 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1613.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

6%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲19%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Portland Timbers58.3

FC Dallas5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Portland Timbers56.7

FC Dallas55.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Portland Timbers13.3

FC Dallas75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Portland Timbers45

FC Dallas65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers45

FC Dallas58.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 66%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers28.3

FC Dallas16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Portland Timbers33.8

FC Dallas45.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.79 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.71 xG/match

16.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match

58.6%Possession5/538.8%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.47 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.1 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match

55%Possession10/1041.4%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.81 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲2 goals/match

1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.5 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.58 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots16/1611.9 shots/match

4.69 shots/matchShots on target16/164.63 shots/match

50.6%Possession16/1642.8%

4.44 corners/matchCorners16/164.31 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

9.75 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/72 goals/match

1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.14 goals/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals5/6▲1.53 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShots7/711.7 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲5.43 shots/match

53.4%Possession7/741.3%

3.57 corners/matchCorners7/74.43 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/2—

9.71 fouls/matchFouls7/712.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/160 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Portland Timbers's recent record differs from the season

FC Dallas show a distinct attacking-volume record

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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