Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 23 May 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeAudi FieldFull-time recap
44Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricDC UnitedCF Montreal
Shots17 shots/match22 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals2.6 xG/match3.13 xG/match
Possession44%56%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.1 fouls/matchFoulsDC United · CF Montreal14.1 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricDC UnitedCF MontrealBaseline
Fouls14.1 fouls/match14.1 fouls/match12.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for DC United.

7 daysRest daysDC United · CF Montreal7.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDC UnitedCF MontrealBaseline
Rest days7 days7.12 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

DC United favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · CF Montreal in 8 · 4 too close

1.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/141.57 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/142.21 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/111.6 xG/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/111.38 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1413.3 shots/match
13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1412.4 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/144.71 shots/match
5.27 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/145.43 shots/match
39.7%Possessionseason · 15/1448.4%
4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/145.07 corners/match
5.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/144.64 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/62.33 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1414.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1421%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1471%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

DC United1.7
CF Montreal41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

DC United35.6
CF Montreal52.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

DC United32.8
CF Montreal27.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

DC United91.7
CF Montreal58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

DC United68.3
CF Montreal63.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

DC United43.3
CF Montreal55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

DC United52.9
CF Montreal62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.77 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots5/518.6 shots/match
6.8 shots/matchShots on target5/56 shots/match
36%Possession5/551.4%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/57.6 corners/match
Cards2/1
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.8 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.68 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots10/1015.2 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target10/105.4 shots/match
40.3%Possession10/1049.3%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match
Cards2/33 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 14 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored15/141.57 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed15/142.21 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals12/111.6 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots15/1413.3 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target15/144.71 shots/match
39.7%Possession15/1448.4%
4.67 corners/matchCorners15/145.07 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/62.33 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1414.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/81.5 goals/match
2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/83 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.58 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots7/812.9 shots/match
5.29 shots/matchShots on target7/84.38 shots/match
43.1%Possession7/850.6%
5.71 corners/matchCorners7/84 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/51.8 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls7/813.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match