PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 23 May 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeBank of America StadiumFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCharlotteNew England Revolution
Shots12 shots/match13 shots/match▲
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.75 xG/match▲0.74 xG/match
Possession40%60%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Charlotte's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charlotte have a visible home split

moderate

Charlotte's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.6 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match10.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlotte, New England Revolution.

7 days▲Rest daysCharlotte · New England Revolution7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCharlotteNew England RevolutionBaseline
Rest days7 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Charlotte
0Draws
1New England Revolution
New England Revolution — Charlotte · Major League Soccer1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlotte favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · New England Revolution in 3 · 6 too close

1.6 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/141.57 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/14▲1.29 goals/match
1.49 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/121.2 xG/match
1.19 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/121.41 xG/match
10.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1410.1 shots/match
13.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1413.1 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/143.86 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/145.57 shots/match
47%Possessionseason · 15/1449.2%
4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/143.64 corners/match
4.33 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/145.36 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/43 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1411.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/14▲21%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/14▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlotte28.3
New England Revolution45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlotte37.8
New England Revolution18.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlotte36.1
New England Revolution43.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlotte28.3
New England Revolution15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlotte29.2
New England Revolution53.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 64%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlotte43.3
New England Revolution5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlotte28.4
New England Revolution9.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.06 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.2 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
44.6%Possession5/555.6%
6 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
—Cards1/1—
11 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match
1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.17 xG/match
9.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲10.9 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/104 shots/match
45.7%Possession10/1050.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
—Cards1/1—
10 fouls/matchFouls10/1010 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 14 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored15/141.57 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/14▲1.29 goals/match
1.49 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.2 xG/match
10.7 shots/match▲Shots15/1410.1 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target15/143.86 shots/match
47%Possession15/1449.2%
4.67 corners/matchCorners15/143.64 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/43 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1411.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 6 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored9/60.83 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/61.83 goals/match
1.66 xG/match▲Expected goals8/41.15 xG/match
12.6 shots/match▲Shots9/68.83 shots/match
5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/63.33 shots/match
49.4%Possession9/646.2%
5.78 corners/matchCorners9/63 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
9.56 fouls/matchFouls9/611.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCharlotteNew England Revolution
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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