PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 14 May 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeToyota StadiumFull-time recap
2–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC DallasVancouver Whitecaps
Shots8 shots/match16 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.35 xG/match▲0.66 xG/match
Possession49%51%
Corners5 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Dallas, Vancouver Whitecaps. A second useful context is: FC Dallas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Dallas, Vancouver Whitecaps.

4 days▲Rest daysFC Dallas · Vancouver Whitecaps3.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFC DallasVancouver WhitecapsBaseline
Rest days4 days3.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

FC Dallas show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Dallas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match▲ShotsFC Dallas · Vancouver Whitecaps17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC DallasVancouver WhitecapsBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match17.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against9.31 shots/match7.67 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Dallas's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Dallas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.92 goals/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Dallas favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Vancouver Whitecaps in 11 · 3 too close

1.92 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/12▲2.5 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/12▲0.75 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/9▲2.56 xG/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/9▲0.91 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/12▲17.8 shots/match
9.31 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/12▲7.67 shots/match
4.62 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/12▲6.75 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/12▲2.42 shots/match
43.5%Possessionseason · 13/1255.8%
4.54 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/125.83 corners/match
5.31 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/12▲3.5 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/32 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1215.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/12▲42%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/12▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Dallas11.7
Vancouver Whitecaps85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Dallas57.8
Vancouver Whitecaps98.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Dallas80
Vancouver Whitecaps96.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Dallas75
Vancouver Whitecaps98.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Dallas55
Vancouver Whitecaps63.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Dallas26.7
Vancouver Whitecaps80
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Dallas50.4
Vancouver Whitecaps93.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.31 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots5/5▲19.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.2 shots/match
41.6%Possession5/556%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/516.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals10/9▲2.56 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲18.7 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲7.2 shots/match
43.5%Possession10/1055%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.8 corners/match
—Cards1/1—
13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1016.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 12 matches
1.92 goals/matchGoals scored13/12▲2.5 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/12▲0.75 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals10/9▲2.56 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots13/12▲17.8 shots/match
4.62 shots/matchShots on target13/12▲6.75 shots/match
43.5%Possession13/1255.8%
4.54 corners/matchCorners13/125.83 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1215.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 4 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored9/4▲2.25 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed9/4▲1.25 goals/match
1.64 xG/matchExpected goals7/31.66 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots9/4▲16.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target9/4▲6.25 shots/match
43.9%Possession9/460.3%
4.22 corners/matchCorners9/44.75 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/1—
14.7 fouls/matchFouls9/414.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.92 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 May 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFC DallasVancouver Whitecaps
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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