PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 14 May 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
3–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSporting Kansas CityLos Angeles Galaxy
Shots15 shots/match18 shots/match▲
Shots on target7 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals2.14 xG/match▲1.02 xG/match
Possession40%60%
Corners4 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Los Angeles Galaxy's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sporting Kansas City. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Los Angeles Galaxy show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Los Angeles Galaxy's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

7.92 shots/match▲ShotsSporting Kansas City · Los Angeles Galaxy13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSporting Kansas CityLos Angeles GalaxyBaseline
Shots7.92 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against17.6 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sporting Kansas City.

3.92 days▲Rest daysSporting Kansas City · Los Angeles Galaxy4.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSporting Kansas CityLos Angeles GalaxyBaseline
Rest days3.92 days4.04 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sporting Kansas City have a visible home split

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season7.92 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match7.92 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sporting Kansas City
0Draws
0Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer1–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sporting Kansas City favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Los Angeles Galaxy in 11 · 3 too close

0.92 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/13▲1.46 goals/match
2.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/13▲1.62 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/10▲1.49 xG/match
2.28 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/10▲1.3 xG/match
7.92 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/13▲13.5 shots/match
17.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/13▲11.5 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/13▲6 shots/match
6.17 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/13▲4.31 shots/match
42.6%Possessionseason · 12/1350.1%
3.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/135.31 corners/match
6.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/13▲3.08 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/42.75 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/139.54 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/13▲8%
58%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/13▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sporting Kansas City8.3
Los Angeles Galaxy58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sporting Kansas City1.7
Los Angeles Galaxy63.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sporting Kansas City9.5
Los Angeles Galaxy61.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sporting Kansas City5
Los Angeles Galaxy58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sporting Kansas City43.3
Los Angeles Galaxy39.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sporting Kansas City1.7
Los Angeles Galaxy65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sporting Kansas City20.8
Los Angeles Galaxy57.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
3.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.5 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.4 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match
38.2%Possession5/545.4%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
16.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match
2.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals9/10▲1.49 xG/match
8 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.8 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.3 shots/match
41.3%Possession10/1050.5%
3.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.9 corners/match
—Cards1/1—
14.1 fouls/matchFouls10/109.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 13 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored12/13▲1.46 goals/match
2.75 goals/matchGoals allowed12/13▲1.62 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals9/10▲1.49 xG/match
7.92 shots/matchShots12/13▲13.5 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target12/13▲6 shots/match
42.6%Possession12/1350.1%
3.25 corners/matchCorners12/135.31 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/42.75 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls12/139.54 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/7▲1.43 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/72 goals/match
1.22 xG/match▲Expected goals4/61.14 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShots6/7▲13.1 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲5.57 shots/match
41.5%Possession6/750.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/75.29 corners/match
—Cards2/2—
12.5 fouls/matchFouls6/77.71 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.04 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 May 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSporting Kansas CityLos Angeles Galaxy
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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