Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 17 May 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeQ2 StadiumFull-time recap

Austin

LWWDL

1–2Full-time recap

Sporting Kansas City

LLDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Austin	Sporting Kansas City
Shots	8 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.46 xG/match	1.42 xG/match▲
Possession	46%	54%
Corners	3 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	21 fouls/match
Yellow cards	4 cards/match	3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sporting Kansas City's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Austin, Sporting Kansas City. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's last-five shots average is above their season average.

12.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season8.85 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.4 shots/match	8.85 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Austin, Sporting Kansas City.

2.96 days▲Rest daysAustin · Sporting Kansas City3 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Austin	Sporting Kansas City	Baseline
Rest days	2.96 days	3 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Austin have a visible home split

moderate

Austin's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.1 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.1 shots/match	10.4 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Austin favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Sporting Kansas City in 4 · 3 too close

1.36 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/131 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/132.62 goals/match

1 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/100.85 xG/match

2.31 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/10▲2.1 xG/match

10.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/138.85 shots/match

18.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/13▲16.8 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/133.69 shots/match

7.21 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/13▲5.92 shots/match

46.6%Possessionseason · 14/1343.5%

4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/133.54 corners/match

6.79 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/13▲6.38 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.33 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1314.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/130%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1362%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Austin21.7

Sporting Kansas City8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Austin15

Sporting Kansas City2.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Austin10.6

Sporting Kansas City9.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Austin28.3

Sporting Kansas City15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Austin32.5

Sporting Kansas City47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 61%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Austin23.3

Sporting Kansas City5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Austin20.8

Sporting Kansas City23.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.8 goals/match

1 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.12 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.4 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

46.4%Possession5/539%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/517.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match

2.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.8 goals/match

1.04 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.85 xG/match

10.3 shots/match▲Shots10/109.5 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4 shots/match

47.4%Possession10/1043.4%

3.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 13 matches

1.36 goals/match▲Goals scored14/131 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/132.62 goals/match

1 xG/match▲Expected goals11/100.85 xG/match

10.4 shots/match▲Shots14/138.85 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target14/133.69 shots/match

46.6%Possession14/1343.5%

4.5 corners/matchCorners14/133.54 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1314.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

1.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/73.14 goals/match

0.96 xG/match▲Expected goals5/60.61 xG/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shots7/78.43 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/72.86 shots/match

54.4%Possession7/745.1%

5.57 corners/matchCorners7/73.43 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls7/715.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Austin have a visible home split

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match