Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 14 May 2026, 01:30 UTCFull timeSnapdragon StadiumFull-time recap
50Full-time recap

Austin

DLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSan DiegoAustin
Shots22 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals2.54 xG/match0.5 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Diego, Austin. A second useful context is: San Diego's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Diego, Austin.

3.96 daysRest daysSan Diego · Austin3.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSan DiegoAustinBaseline
Rest days3.96 days3.1 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

San Diego show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

San Diego's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/matchShotsSan Diego · Austin10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSan DiegoAustinBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match18.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Austin have a visible away split

moderate

Austin's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.71 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.71 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

San Diego favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Austin in 0 · 5 too close

1.92 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/131.38 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/132 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/101.05 xG/match
1.94 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/102.4 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1310.6 shots/match
13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1318.2 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/134.08 shots/match
5.23 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/137.15 shots/match
62.1%Possessionseason · 13/1346.7%
4.69 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.62 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/136.77 corners/match
2.71 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/32 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1311.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1331%
85%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1385%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

San Diego98.3
Austin21.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

San Diego52.8
Austin16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

San Diego36.7
Austin10.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

San Diego1.7
Austin28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

San Diego48.3
Austin30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 62%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

San Diego43.3
Austin36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

San Diego37.5
Austin23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.03 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
61.4%Possession5/543.4%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
Cards1/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.05 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots10/1010.5 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/103.8 shots/match
60.6%Possession10/1046.8%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards4/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1.92 goals/matchGoals scored13/131.38 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed13/132 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.05 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots13/1310.6 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target13/134.08 shots/match
62.1%Possession13/1346.7%
4.69 corners/matchCorners13/134.62 corners/match
2.71 cards/matchCards7/32 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
2.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.43 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/73.14 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals5/61.03 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots7/78.71 shots/match
5.71 shots/matchShots on target7/73.14 shots/match
62.7%Possession7/738.9%
5.29 corners/matchCorners7/73.43 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/1
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 May 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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