Major League Soccer · 2026Lumen Field

Seattle Sounders FC 3–2 San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Seattle Sounders FC won 3–2.

Shots
2311
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
3.261.08
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Seattle Sounders beat San Jose Earthquakes 3–2. Recorded in this match (Seattle Sounders – San Jose Earthquakes): shots 23–11, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 3.26–1.08, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Seattle Sounders's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Seattle Sounders's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible away split

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.29 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.29 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Seattle Sounders, San Jose Earthquakes.

3.96 days ▲Rest daysSeattle Sounders · San Jose Earthquakes3.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSeattle SoundersSan Jose EarthquakesBaseline
Rest days3.96 days3.96 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots11 shotsSeattle Sounders FC 23 shots, San Jose Earthquakes 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsSeattle Sounders FC 9 shots, San Jose Earthquakes 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.26 xG1.08 xGSeattle Sounders FC 3.26 xG, San Jose Earthquakes 1.08 xG
  • Possession63%37%Seattle Sounders FC 63%, San Jose Earthquakes 37%
  • Corners9 corners6 cornersSeattle Sounders FC 9 corners, San Jose Earthquakes 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsSeattle Sounders FC 12 fouls, San Jose Earthquakes 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsSeattle Sounders FC 0 cards, San Jose Earthquakes 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Seattle Sounders FC
2Draws
1San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer0–1
Seattle Sounders FC — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer3–2
San Jose Earthquakes — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer1–1
Seattle Sounders FC — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer2–2
San Jose Earthquakes — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Seattle Sounders FC favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · San Jose Earthquakes in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Seattle Sounders FC11 matchesSan Jose Earthquakes13 matches
1.55 goals/matchGoals scored11/13▲ 2.23 goals/match
0.73 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/130.85 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals8/10▲ 1.86 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots11/1314.3 shots/match
5.64 shots/matchShots on target11/135.46 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession11/1346.8%
5.82 corners/matchCorners11/13● 7.15 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/41.75 cards/match
9.45 fouls/matchFouls11/1311.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 May 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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