Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 14 May 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeCITYPARKFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSt. Louis CityLos Angeles FC
Shots8 shots/match16 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.72 xG/match1.68 xG/match
Possession38%62%
Corners2 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Los Angeles FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for St. Louis City, Los Angeles FC. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Los Angeles FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Los Angeles FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.62 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.62 goals/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for St. Louis City, Los Angeles FC.

3.96 daysRest daysSt. Louis City · Los Angeles FC2.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSt. Louis CityLos Angeles FCBaseline
Rest days3.96 days2.98 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/matchCornersSt. Louis City · Los Angeles FC5.54 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSt. Louis CityLos Angeles FCBaseline
Corners6 corners/match5.54 corners/match4.76 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0St. Louis City
0Draws
1Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FCSt. Louis City · Major League Soccer20

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

St. Louis City favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Los Angeles FC in 7 · 5 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/131.62 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/131.08 goals/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/101.04 xG/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/101.19 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1313.4 shots/match
11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1312.2 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/134.69 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/133.92 shots/match
48.9%Possessionseason · 12/1347.8%
6 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/135.54 corners/match
4.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/134.62 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/32 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1312.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1362%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1385%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

St. Louis City51.7
Los Angeles FC45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

St. Louis City28.3
Los Angeles FC56.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

St. Louis City60.6
Los Angeles FC72.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

St. Louis City61.7
Los Angeles FC71.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

St. Louis City58.3
Los Angeles FC41.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 62%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

St. Louis City88.3
Los Angeles FC68.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

St. Louis City56.2
Los Angeles FC61.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.93 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.88 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots5/511.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
47%Possession5/547.4%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
Cards1/0
14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals9/101.04 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots10/1013.3 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/104.4 shots/match
50%Possession10/1045.8%
6.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.6 corners/match
Cards2/0
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 13 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored12/131.62 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed12/131.08 goals/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals9/101.04 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots12/1313.4 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target12/134.69 shots/match
48.9%Possession12/1347.8%
6 corners/matchCorners12/135.54 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1312.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/61.17 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/61 goals/match
1.72 xG/matchExpected goals3/51.03 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots5/613.2 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/64.5 shots/match
51.4%Possession5/649%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/65.33 corners/match
Cards2/1
12 fouls/matchFouls5/611.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.98 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 May 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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