PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026BMO Stadium

Los Angeles FC 1–4 Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer

1–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Houston Dynamo won 1–4.

Shots
1912
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
0.940.86
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Houston Dynamo beat Los Angeles FC 4–1. Recorded in this match (Los Angeles FC – Houston Dynamo): shots 19–12, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 0.94–0.86, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Los Angeles FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Los Angeles FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.67 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots12 shotsLos Angeles FC 19 shots, Houston Dynamo 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsLos Angeles FC 6 shots, Houston Dynamo 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG0.86 xGLos Angeles FC 0.94 xG, Houston Dynamo 0.86 xG
  • Possession66%34%Los Angeles FC 66%, Houston Dynamo 34%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersLos Angeles FC 10 corners, Houston Dynamo 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsLos Angeles FC 12 fouls, Houston Dynamo 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsLos Angeles FC 4 cards, Houston Dynamo 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Los Angeles FC
1Draws
2Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer0–2
Los Angeles FC — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer2–0
Houston Dynamo — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer1–0
Houston Dynamo — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer0–0
Los Angeles FC — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Los Angeles FC favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Houston Dynamo in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Los Angeles FC12 matchesHouston Dynamo11 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/111.55 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed12/111.73 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.13 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots12/1113.1 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target12/114.73 shots/match
46.7% ●Possession12/1141.5%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners12/115.09 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/53.4 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1110.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 May 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLos Angeles FCHouston Dynamo
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headLos Angeles FC — Houston Dynamo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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