Major League Soccer · 2026Mon, 11 May 2026, 01:00 UTCFull timeBMO StadiumFull-time recap

Los Angeles FC

LLDWD

1–4Full-time recap

Houston Dynamo

LWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Los Angeles FC	Houston Dynamo
Shots	19 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match	6 shots/match
Expected goals	0.94 xG/match▲	0.86 xG/match
Possession	66%	34%
Corners	10 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	4 cards/match	3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Los Angeles FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Los Angeles FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Los Angeles FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.67 goals/match	1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Los Angeles FC

0Draws

0Houston Dynamo

1 Mar 2026Houston Dynamo — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Los Angeles FC favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Houston Dynamo in 1 · 7 too close

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/111.55 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/111.73 goals/match

0.97 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/9▲1.13 xG/match

1.13 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/91.33 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1113.1 shots/match

12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1112.7 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/114.73 shots/match

4.08 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/114.45 shots/match

46.7%Possessionseason · 12/1141.5%

5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/115.09 corners/match

4.83 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/114.91 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/53.4 cards/match

12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1110.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

67%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1127%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1173%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Los Angeles FC21.7

Houston Dynamo5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Los Angeles FC57.8

Houston Dynamo50.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Los Angeles FC68.9

Houston Dynamo45

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Los Angeles FC71.7

Houston Dynamo91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC45

Houston Dynamo52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC68.3

Houston Dynamo65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Los Angeles FC62.5

Houston Dynamo47.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match

0.75 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲0.84 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲12 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.8 shots/match

45.6%Possession5/539.4%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

0.97 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.13 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.4 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.8 shots/match

45.7%Possession10/1041.4%

5.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.3 corners/match

—Cards1/43.5 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 11 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored12/111.55 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/111.73 goals/match

0.97 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.13 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots12/1113.1 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target12/114.73 shots/match

46.7%Possession12/1141.5%

5.33 corners/matchCorners12/115.09 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/53.4 cards/match

12.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1110.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 5 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored7/52 goals/match

1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/52.6 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.4 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShots7/514.2 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/5▲5.6 shots/match

46.9%Possession7/544.4%

5.71 corners/matchCorners7/54.6 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls7/511.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.02 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 May 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Los Angeles FC's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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