Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 10 May 2026, 20:30 UTCFull timeYankee StadiumFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNew York City FCColumbus Crew
Shots9 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.03 xG/match1.07 xG/match
Possession42%58%
Corners3 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New York City FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

New York City FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

New York City FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/matchShotsNew York City FC · Columbus Crew12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNew York City FCColumbus CrewBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match8.75 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New York City FC favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Columbus Crew in 4 · 6 too close

1.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/121.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/121.58 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/90.99 xG/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/90.97 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1212.2 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/128.75 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/124.33 shots/match
4.92 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/123.92 shots/match
57.6%Possessionseason · 12/1255.9%
3.92 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/126.08 corners/match
4.42 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/124 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/41.25 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1210.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1217%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New York City FC91.7
Columbus Crew78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New York City FC66.7
Columbus Crew32.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New York City FC47.8
Columbus Crew75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New York City FC15
Columbus Crew18.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New York City FC41.6
Columbus Crew10.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New York City FC15
Columbus Crew88.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New York City FC40.8
Columbus Crew44.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.05 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots5/511.2 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
59.6%Possession5/557.8%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
Cards1/1
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals9/90.99 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots10/1012.1 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target10/104.3 shots/match
57.4%Possession10/1055.9%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match
Cards2/2
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.83 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.58 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals9/90.99 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots12/1212.2 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target12/124.33 shots/match
57.6%Possession12/1255.9%
3.92 corners/matchCorners12/126.08 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 6 matches
2.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/61.5 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/62.17 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals7/41.05 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots8/611.8 shots/match
6.5 shots/matchShots on target8/64.33 shots/match
56.5%Possession8/653.3%
4.38 corners/matchCorners8/67 corners/match
Cards1/2
10.4 fouls/matchFouls8/611.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.88 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 May 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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