Major League Soccer · 2026Wed, 13 May 2026, 23:15 UTCFull timeBank of America StadiumFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCharlotteNew York City FC
Shots5 shots/match4 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.51 xG/match0.63 xG/match
Possession47%53%
Corners8 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match19 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Charlotte's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlotte, New York City FC. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Charlotte's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlotte's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlotte, New York City FC.

3.99 daysRest daysCharlotte · New York City FC3.11 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCharlotteNew York City FCBaseline
Rest days3.99 days3.11 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

New York City FC have a visible away split

moderate

New York City FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.4 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Charlotte
0Draws
0New York City FC
New York City FCCharlotte · Major League Soccer12

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlotte favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · New York City FC in 8 · 4 too close

1.54 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/131.77 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/131.38 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/101.05 xG/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/101.46 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1311.8 shots/match
13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1312.2 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/135.15 shots/match
5.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/134.69 shots/match
47.7%Possessionseason · 13/1357.2%
4.62 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/133.69 corners/match
4.54 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/134.69 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42.5 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1311.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1323%
69%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1377%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlotte38.3
New York City FC91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlotte28.3
New York City FC56.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlotte25.5
New York City FC59.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlotte18.3
New York City FC15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlotte30.9
New York City FC50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 65%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlotte36.7
New York City FC11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlotte24.6
New York City FC38.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.84 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots5/58.8 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
46.6%Possession5/557.4%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
Cards0/1
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.05 xG/match
9.4 shots/matchShots10/1011.7 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/105.2 shots/match
46.2%Possession10/1055.6%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
Cards1/1
10.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1.54 goals/matchGoals scored13/131.77 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.38 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.05 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots13/1311.8 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target13/135.15 shots/match
47.7%Possession13/1357.2%
4.62 corners/matchCorners13/133.69 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/42.5 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored7/50.8 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/51 goals/match
1.59 xG/matchExpected goals6/30.55 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots7/58.4 shots/match
5.57 shots/matchShots on target7/53 shots/match
51.4%Possession7/558.4%
6 corners/matchCorners7/52.6 corners/match
Cards2/33.33 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls7/514.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.99 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.11 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 May 2026, 03:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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