Major League Soccer · 2026Wed, 13 May 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeSports Illustrated StadiumFull-time recap
32Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNew York Red BullsColumbus Crew
Shots13 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals2.79 xG/match1.51 xG/match
Possession31%69%
Corners3 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Columbus Crew. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Columbus Crew.

4.21 daysRest daysNew York Red Bulls · Columbus Crew3.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNew York Red BullsColumbus CrewBaseline
Rest days4.21 days3.12 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.23 corners/matchCornersNew York Red Bulls · Columbus Crew5.77 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNew York Red BullsColumbus CrewBaseline
Corners6.23 corners/match5.77 corners/match4.76 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

New York Red Bulls's recent record differs from the season

weak

New York Red Bulls's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.69 goals/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New York Red Bulls favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Columbus Crew in 6 · 4 too close

1.69 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/131.38 goals/match
2.31 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/131.69 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/101.04 xG/match
2.11 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/101.15 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1312.2 shots/match
12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/139.08 shots/match
5.15 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/134.31 shots/match
5.62 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/134.08 shots/match
53.9%Possessionseason · 13/1356.9%
6.23 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/135.77 corners/match
4.69 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/133.92 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/41.25 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1310.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1315%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1377%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New York Red Bulls71.7
Columbus Crew88.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New York Red Bulls66.7
Columbus Crew31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New York Red Bulls20.6
Columbus Crew71.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New York Red Bulls45
Columbus Crew21.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New York Red Bulls30.9
Columbus Crew10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 65%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New York Red Bulls95
Columbus Crew71.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New York Red Bulls70.8
Columbus Crew40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.17 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots5/511.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
45.8%Possession5/561.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/1
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.04 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots10/1012 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/104.2 shots/match
51.7%Possession10/1057.8%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.6 corners/match
Cards2/1
11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1.69 goals/matchGoals scored13/131.38 goals/match
2.31 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.69 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.04 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots13/1312.2 shots/match
5.15 shots/matchShots on target13/134.31 shots/match
53.9%Possession13/1356.9%
6.23 corners/matchCorners13/135.77 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/41.25 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored6/71.57 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/72.29 goals/match
1.64 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.14 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots6/711.9 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target6/74.29 shots/match
54.2%Possession6/755.6%
5.5 corners/matchCorners6/76.29 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/2
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/710.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.12 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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