PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 16 May 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeSubaru ParkFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPhiladelphia UnionColumbus Crew
Shots11 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals0.77 xG/match▲0.41 xG/match
Possession38%62%
Corners4 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Philadelphia Union, Columbus Crew. A second useful context is: Columbus Crew's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Philadelphia Union, Columbus Crew.

3 days▲Rest daysPhiladelphia Union · Columbus Crew3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPhiladelphia UnionColumbus CrewBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Columbus Crew show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Columbus Crew's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match▲ShotsPhiladelphia Union · Columbus Crew11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPhiladelphia UnionColumbus CrewBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against8.86 shots/match9.21 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Columbus Crew's recent record differs from the season

weak

Columbus Crew's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Philadelphia Union
0Draws
1Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Philadelphia Union favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Columbus Crew in 4 · 6 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲1.36 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/141.64 goals/match
1.23 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/110.98 xG/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.12 xG/match
14.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1411.6 shots/match
8.86 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/149.21 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲4.07 shots/match
3.43 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/144.07 shots/match
46.7%Possessionseason · 14/1457.3%
6 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/145.64 corners/match
2.93 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/143.93 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/41.25 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1410.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1414%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/14▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Philadelphia Union25
Columbus Crew91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Philadelphia Union30.6
Columbus Crew21.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Philadelphia Union72.8
Columbus Crew71.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Philadelphia Union88.3
Columbus Crew8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Philadelphia Union95.8
Columbus Crew9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 64%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Philadelphia Union88.3
Columbus Crew78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Philadelphia Union67.5
Columbus Crew33.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.19 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.06 xG/match
14.4 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
42.2%Possession5/562.2%
5 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
—Cards1/1—
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.5 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
1.14 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.06 xG/match
14.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match
44.8%Possession10/1058.3%
5.7 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match
—Cards1/1—
15.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.36 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.64 goals/match
1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals11/110.98 xG/match
14.4 shots/match▲Shots14/1411.6 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲4.07 shots/match
46.7%Possession14/1457.3%
6 corners/matchCorners14/145.64 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 8 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/8▲1.5 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/82.13 goals/match
1.11 xG/match▲Expected goals4/61.02 xG/match
14.2 shots/match▲Shots6/811 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/83.88 shots/match
48.3%Possession6/856.4%
7.17 corners/matchCorners6/86 corners/match
—Cards2/2—
13.5 fouls/matchFouls6/810.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsPhiladelphia UnionColumbus Crew
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match