Major League Soccer · 2026Lumen Field

Seattle Sounders FC 1–1 San Diego FC · Major League Soccer

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Seattle Sounders FC and San Diego FC drew 1–1.

Shots
2615
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
2.461.68
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Seattle Sounders and San Diego drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Seattle Sounders – San Diego): shots 26–15, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 2.46–1.68, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Seattle Sounders's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Seattle Sounders's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Seattle Sounders have a visible home split

weak

Seattle Sounders's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

San Diego have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.3%PossessionSeattle Sounders · San Diego● 62.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSeattle SoundersSan DiegoBaseline
Possession52.3%62.3%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots15 shotsSeattle Sounders FC 26 shots, San Diego FC 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsSeattle Sounders FC 5 shots, San Diego FC 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.46 xG1.68 xGSeattle Sounders FC 2.46 xG, San Diego FC 1.68 xG
  • Possession47%53%Seattle Sounders FC 47%, San Diego FC 53%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersSeattle Sounders FC 8 corners, San Diego FC 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsSeattle Sounders FC 9 fouls, San Diego FC 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsSeattle Sounders FC 3 cards, San Diego FC 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Seattle Sounders FC
0Draws
1San Diego FC
Seattle Sounders FC — San Diego FC · Major League Soccer1–0
San Diego FC — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Seattle Sounders FC favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · San Diego FC in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Seattle Sounders FC10 matchesSan Diego FC12 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/12▲ 1.67 goals/match
0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/121.67 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals7/91.36 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots10/1210.4 shots/match
5.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/124.25 shots/match
52.3%Possession10/12● 62.3%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners10/124.58 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/72.71 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1211.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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