Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 10 May 2026, 02:30 UTCFull timeLumen FieldFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSeattle SoundersSan Diego
Shots26 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals2.46 xG/match1.68 xG/match
Possession47%53%
Corners8 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Seattle Sounders's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Seattle Sounders's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Seattle Sounders's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Seattle Sounders's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Seattle Sounders have a visible home split

weak

Seattle Sounders's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

San Diego have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.3%PossessionSeattle Sounders · San Diego62.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSeattle SoundersSan DiegoBaseline
Possession52.3%62.3%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Seattle Sounders favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · San Diego in 2 · 4 too close

1.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/121.67 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/121.67 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/91.36 xG/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/92.1 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1210.4 shots/match
13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1214 shots/match
5.3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/124.25 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/125.42 shots/match
52.3%Possessionseason · 10/1262.3%
5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/124.58 corners/match
6.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/124 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/72.71 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1211.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1225%
90%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1283%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Seattle Sounders65
San Diego98.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Seattle Sounders56.1
San Diego28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Seattle Sounders64.4
San Diego30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Seattle Sounders51.7
San Diego1.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Seattle Sounders15
San Diego48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 65%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Seattle Sounders71.7
San Diego41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Seattle Sounders53.4
San Diego25.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.72 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.36 xG/match
16 shots/matchShots5/510.2 shots/match
6.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
55%Possession5/560%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards0/1
8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals7/91.36 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots10/1010.5 shots/match
5.3 shots/matchShots on target10/103.8 shots/match
52.3%Possession10/1061.4%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/53.6 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 12 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/121.67 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/121.67 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals7/91.36 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots10/1210.4 shots/match
5.3 shots/matchShots on target10/124.25 shots/match
52.3%Possession10/1262.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/124.58 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/72.71 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1211.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 6 matches
2.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/61.17 goals/match
0.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/62 goals/match
1.99 xG/matchExpected goals3/51.32 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots4/69.5 shots/match
6.25 shots/matchShots on target4/63.5 shots/match
49.5%Possession4/661.3%
6.25 corners/matchCorners4/64 corners/match
Cards1/33.33 cards/match
8.25 fouls/matchFouls4/611.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.33 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match