Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 10 May 2026, 02:30 UTCFull timeProvidence ParkFull-time recap

Portland Timbers

LWLWL

6–0Full-time recap

Sporting Kansas City

LLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Portland Timbers	Sporting Kansas City
Shots	16 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.34 xG/match▲	0.5 xG/match
Possession	63%	37%
Corners	4 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	20 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Portland Timbers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	0.73 goals/match	1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Portland Timbers show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Portland Timbers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsPortland Timbers · Sporting Kansas City7.27 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Portland Timbers	Sporting Kansas City	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	7.27 shots/match	12.6 shots/match
Shots against	18.2 shots/match	17.5 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Portland Timbers favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Sporting Kansas City in 2 · 4 too close

1.73 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/110.73 goals/match

1.91 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/112.91 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/80.62 xG/match

1.83 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/82.43 xG/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/117.27 shots/match

18.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1117.5 shots/match

4.27 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲6.09 shots/match

47%Possessionseason · 11/1142.8%

3.82 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/113.18 corners/match

7.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲6.55 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/31.33 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1113 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

9%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/110%

73%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1155%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Portland Timbers25

Sporting Kansas City8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Portland Timbers38.3

Sporting Kansas City1.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Portland Timbers10.6

Sporting Kansas City8.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Portland Timbers38.3

Sporting Kansas City5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers50

Sporting Kansas City42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 64%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers11.7

Sporting Kansas City5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Portland Timbers20

Sporting Kansas City21.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/53.6 goals/match

1.32 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.6 xG/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shots5/58 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

51.4%Possession5/540%

3.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match

1.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.9 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals8/80.62 xG/match

11.4 shots/match▲Shots10/107.3 shots/match

4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match

47.1%Possession10/1041.5%

3.6 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match

3.5 cards/matchCards4/2—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches

1.73 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.73 goals/match

1.91 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/112.91 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals8/80.62 xG/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shots11/117.27 shots/match

4.27 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113 shots/match

47%Possession11/1142.8%

3.82 corners/matchCorners11/113.18 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards5/31.33 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1113 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/60.5 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/63.5 goals/match

1.1 xG/match▲Expected goals3/50.44 xG/match

10.8 shots/match▲Shots5/66.5 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/62 shots/match

49%Possession5/643.7%

3.2 corners/matchCorners5/62.83 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/1—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/614.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.33 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

Portland Timbers show a distinct attacking-volume record

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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