Major League Soccer · 2026Saputo Stadium

CF Montréal 2–2 Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CF Montréal and Portland Timbers drew 2–2.

Shots
2214
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.831.99
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

CF Montreal and Portland Timbers drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (CF Montreal – Portland Timbers): shots 22–14, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.83–1.99, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CF Montreal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CF Montreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Portland Timbers.

4.12 days ▲Rest daysCF Montreal · Portland Timbers3.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCF MontrealPortland TimbersBaseline
Rest days4.12 days3.88 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

CF Montreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

CF Montreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsCF Montreal · Portland Timbers11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCF MontrealPortland TimbersBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match18.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots14 shotsCF Montréal 22 shots, Portland Timbers 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsCF Montréal 7 shots, Portland Timbers 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.83 xG1.99 xGCF Montréal 1.83 xG, Portland Timbers 1.99 xG
  • Possession43%57%CF Montréal 43%, Portland Timbers 57%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersCF Montréal 5 corners, Portland Timbers 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls6 foulsCF Montréal 16 fouls, Portland Timbers 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardCF Montréal 3 cards, Portland Timbers 1 card

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CF Montréal
0Draws
0Portland Timbers
CF Montréal — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer4–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CF Montréal favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Portland Timbers in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CF Montréal12 matchesPortland Timbers12 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.75 goals/match
2.08 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.92 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.29 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots12/1211.7 shots/match
4.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/124.17 shots/match
46.9%Possession12/12● 47.8%
4.25 corners/match ●Corners12/124.08 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards6/53 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls12/129.75 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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