Major League Soccer · 2026Wed, 13 May 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeSaputo StadiumFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCF MontrealPortland Timbers
Shots22 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.83 xG/match1.99 xG/match
Possession43%57%
Corners5 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: CF Montreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Portland Timbers. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

CF Montreal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CF Montreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Portland Timbers.

4.12 daysRest daysCF Montreal · Portland Timbers3.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCF MontrealPortland TimbersBaseline
Rest days4.12 days3.88 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

CF Montreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

CF Montreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/matchShotsCF Montreal · Portland Timbers11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCF MontrealPortland TimbersBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match18.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

CF Montreal favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Portland Timbers in 2 · 3 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/121.75 goals/match
2.08 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/121.92 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/91.29 xG/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/91.83 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1211.7 shots/match
12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1218.5 shots/match
4.42 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/124.17 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/127 shots/match
46.9%Possessionseason · 12/1247.8%
4.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/124.08 corners/match
4.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/127.08 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/53 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/129.75 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/128%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

CF Montreal28.3
Portland Timbers41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

CF Montreal42.8
Portland Timbers37.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

CF Montreal35
Portland Timbers12.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

CF Montreal48.3
Portland Timbers38.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

CF Montreal70
Portland Timbers46.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 71%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

CF Montreal18.3
Portland Timbers15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

CF Montreal50
Portland Timbers18.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.73 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.41 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots5/513 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
42%Possession5/551.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
Cards2/0
14 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.8 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.29 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots10/1011.6 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match
47.6%Possession10/1048.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/33.67 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.75 goals/match
2.08 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.92 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.29 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots12/1211.7 shots/match
4.42 shots/matchShots on target12/124.17 shots/match
46.9%Possession12/1247.8%
4.25 corners/matchCorners12/124.08 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards6/53 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls12/129.75 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 7 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/71.14 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/72.14 goals/match
1.75 xG/matchExpected goals5/61.39 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots5/712.3 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/73.86 shots/match
42.8%Possession5/747%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/74.71 corners/match
Cards1/2
15.4 fouls/matchFouls5/710.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.88 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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