Major League Soccer · 2026Geodis Park

Nashville SC 2–2 DC United · Major League Soccer

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Nashville SC and DC United drew 2–2.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
86
Expected goals
2.271.66
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nashville SC and DC United drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Nashville SC – DC United): shots 16–12, shots on target 8–6, expected goals 2.27–1.66, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nashville SC have a visible home split

moderate

Nashville SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Nashville SC have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.1% ●PossessionNashville SC · DC United39.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNashville SCDC UnitedBaseline
Possession56.1%39.1%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsNashville SC 16 shots, DC United 12 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots6 shotsNashville SC 8 shots, DC United 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.27 xG1.66 xGNashville SC 2.27 xG, DC United 1.66 xG
  • Possession74%26%Nashville SC 74%, DC United 26%
  • Corners8 corners7 cornersNashville SC 8 corners, DC United 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsNashville SC 9 fouls, DC United 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsNashville SC 3 cards, DC United 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nashville SC
1Draws
2DC United
DC United — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer0–1
Nashville SC — DC United · Major League Soccer0–0
Nashville SC — DC United · Major League Soccer3–4
DC United — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer2–1
Nashville SC — DC United · Major League Soccer2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nashville SC favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · DC United in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nashville SC11 matchesDC United12 matches
2.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/121.25 goals/match
0.73 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/121.42 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals8/9▲ 1.48 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots11/1211.5 shots/match
5.55 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/123.75 shots/match
56.1% ●Possession11/1239.1%
4.36 corners/match ●Corners11/124.33 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/42.25 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1213.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 05:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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