Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 10 May 2026, 01:15 UTCFull timeGeodis ParkFull-time recap

Nashville SC

LWWWD

2–2Full-time recap

DC United

LDDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Nashville SC	DC United
Shots	16 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Expected goals	2.27 xG/match▲	1.66 xG/match
Possession	74%	26%
Corners	8 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Nashville SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.25 goals/match	1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nashville SC have a visible home split

moderate

Nashville SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.6 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Nashville SC have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.1%▲PossessionNashville SC · DC United39.1%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Nashville SC	DC United	Baseline
Possession	56.1%	39.1%	48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Nashville SC favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · DC United in 1 · 3 too close

2.09 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/121.25 goals/match

0.73 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/121.42 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/9▲1.48 xG/match

1.14 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/91.24 xG/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1211.5 shots/match

9.91 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1212.5 shots/match

5.55 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/123.75 shots/match

2.82 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/125 shots/match

56.1%Possessionseason · 11/1239.1%

4.36 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/124.33 corners/match

3.73 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/125.58 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42.25 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1213.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

45%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1233%

73%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1258%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nashville SC81.7

DC United1.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nashville SC71.7

DC United17.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nashville SC88.9

DC United51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nashville SC25

DC United81.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC40

DC United65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC28.3

DC United23.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nashville SC51.7

DC United36.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.92 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShots5/513.2 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.2 shots/match

58%Possession5/535.8%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals8/9▲1.48 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots10/1012.4 shots/match

5.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match

56.2%Possession10/1037.5%

4.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/2—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 12 matches

2.09 goals/match▲Goals scored11/121.25 goals/match

0.73 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/121.42 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals8/9▲1.48 xG/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots11/1211.5 shots/match

5.55 shots/match▲Shots on target11/123.75 shots/match

56.1%Possession11/1239.1%

4.36 corners/matchCorners11/124.33 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/42.25 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1213.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 8 matches

3.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/81.25 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/8▲1.13 goals/match

2.24 xG/match▲Expected goals3/71.63 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots5/811.1 shots/match

7.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/83.63 shots/match

61.2%Possession5/836.8%

5.4 corners/matchCorners5/83.75 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/2—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/813.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.07 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.26 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples11 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 05:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

DC United's recent record differs from the season

Nashville SC have a visible home split

The teams have contrasting possession records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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