PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Gillette Stadium

New England Revolution 0–3 Nashville SC · Major League Soccer

0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Nashville SC won 0–3.

Shots
88
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.470.39
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nashville SC beat New England Revolution 3–0. Recorded in this match (New England Revolution – Nashville SC): shots 8–8, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.47–0.39, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for New England Revolution, Nashville SC.

4 days ▲Rest daysNew England Revolution · Nashville SC3.93 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNew England RevolutionNashville SCBaseline
Rest days4 days3.93 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

New England Revolution show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsNew England Revolution · Nashville SC12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNew England RevolutionNashville SCBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match9.75 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots8 shotsNew England Revolution 8 shots, Nashville SC 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsNew England Revolution 2 shots, Nashville SC 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.47 xG0.39 xGNew England Revolution 0.47 xG, Nashville SC 0.39 xG
  • Possession54%46%New England Revolution 54%, Nashville SC 46%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersNew England Revolution 6 corners, Nashville SC 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsNew England Revolution 8 fouls, Nashville SC 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsNew England Revolution 2 cards, Nashville SC 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2New England Revolution
1Draws
2Nashville SC
Nashville SC — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer4–1
New England Revolution — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer2–3
Nashville SC — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer0–0
New England Revolution — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer1–0
Nashville SC — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: New England Revolution favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Nashville SC in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

New England Revolution12 matchesNashville SC12 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 2.17 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals10/9▲ 1.29 xG/match
9.75 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 12.1 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.42 shots/match
48.6%Possession12/12● 55.3%
3.33 corners/matchCorners12/12● 4.58 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/42 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNew England RevolutionNashville SC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headNew England Revolution — Nashville SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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