Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 16 May 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeGillette StadiumFull-time recap

New England Revolution

WDWWL

2–1Full-time recap

Minnesota United FC

WLWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	New England Revolution	Minnesota United FC
Shots	11 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.75 xG/match▲	1.7 xG/match
Possession	46%	54%
Corners	8 corners/match	10 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for New England Revolution, Minnesota United FC. A second useful context is: New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for New England Revolution, Minnesota United FC.

3 days▲Rest daysNew England Revolution · Minnesota United FC2.96 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	New England Revolution	Minnesota United FC	Baseline
Rest days	3 days	2.96 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.69 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.69 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New England Revolution favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Minnesota United FC in 5 · 5 too close

1.69 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/141.21 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/141.5 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/11▲1.53 xG/match

1.38 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 11/111.46 xG/match

9.85 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/14▲13.4 shots/match

13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1412.7 shots/match

3.92 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/14▲4.5 shots/match

5.54 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/14▲4.71 shots/match

48.4%Possessionseason · 13/1446.1%

3.69 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/145.14 corners/match

5.54 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/145.57 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/41.25 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1413.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/14▲29%

85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1471%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New England Revolution48.3

Minnesota United FC18.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New England Revolution23.9

Minnesota United FC41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New England Revolution39.4

Minnesota United FC47.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New England Revolution11.7

Minnesota United FC78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution43.3

Minnesota United FC39.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 62%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution11.7

Minnesota United FC58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New England Revolution13.3

Minnesota United FC60.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.61 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.4 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

50%Possession5/552.2%

5.4 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.58 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.8 shots/match

3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.7 shots/match

49.3%Possession10/1046.5%

3.9 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

10 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 14 matches

1.69 goals/match▲Goals scored13/141.21 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/141.5 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲1.53 xG/match

9.85 shots/matchShots13/14▲13.4 shots/match

3.92 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲4.5 shots/match

48.4%Possession13/1446.1%

3.69 corners/matchCorners13/145.14 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/41.25 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1413.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches

2.13 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.5 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82.13 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals8/6▲1.37 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots8/811.4 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲4.75 shots/match

51.5%Possession8/843.9%

4.13 corners/matchCorners8/85.13 corners/match

—Cards1/31 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls8/813.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.96 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Recent scheduling adds useful context

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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