Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 14 May 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeAllianz FieldFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMinnesota United FCColorado Rapids
Shots12 shots/match5 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.17 xG/match0.62 xG/match
Possession56%44%
Corners5 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match24 fouls/match
Yellow cards5 cards/match4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Minnesota United FC, Colorado Rapids. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.77 goals/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Minnesota United FC, Colorado Rapids.

3.06 daysRest daysMinnesota United FC · Colorado Rapids3.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMinnesota United FCColorado RapidsBaseline
Rest days3.06 days3.96 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Colorado Rapids have a visible away split

moderate

Colorado Rapids's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.13 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.13 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Minnesota United FC favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Colorado Rapids in 2 · 8 too close

1.23 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/131.77 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/131.54 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/101.42 xG/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/101.47 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1310.8 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1312.4 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/134.31 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/134.54 shots/match
45.5%Possessionseason · 13/1355.3%
4.77 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.69 corners/match
5.38 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/135.08 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/63.5 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1314.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1323%
69%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1369%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Minnesota United FC18.3
Colorado Rapids81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Minnesota United FC41.1
Colorado Rapids37.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Minnesota United FC47.8
Colorado Rapids52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Minnesota United FC78.3
Colorado Rapids8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United FC39.1
Colorado Rapids94.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 65%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United FC53.3
Colorado Rapids43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Minnesota United FC58.8
Colorado Rapids45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.83 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots5/57.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/52 shots/match
51.6%Possession5/557.4%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
Cards0/1
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.42 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots10/109.7 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/103.7 shots/match
46.1%Possession10/1055.5%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
Cards1/35 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored13/131.77 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.54 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.42 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots13/1310.8 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target13/134.31 shots/match
45.5%Possession13/1355.3%
4.77 corners/matchCorners13/134.69 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/63.5 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 8 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/81.13 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/81.63 goals/match
1.72 xG/matchExpected goals5/71.24 xG/match
16 shots/matchShots6/88.13 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target6/83.25 shots/match
49%Possession6/855.4%
5.17 corners/matchCorners6/83.88 corners/match
Cards1/2
12.8 fouls/matchFouls6/815.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.96 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 May 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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